The heaviest rain is east of us, but there is more on the way tonight and overnight.
Today we were on the east side of a low pressure center. Rain was coming from the south.
Friday, the low will move east of us, and we’ll get rain from the west side of the low (the orange arrows), moving north-to-south.
Showers are rolling northward through our two-county area this morning, making for a cool and damp start to Thursday. The latest HRRR shows more showers and a few storms developing out of the south this afternoon and blanketing the area.
Starting tonight, we will begin to transition back into a somewhat wet period over the next several days. Thursday we will see more showers while Friday’s showers should become more off and on in nature. While Thursday and Friday shouldn’t be complete wash-outs the entire day, there will be a good bit of rainfall received both days.
GFS Loop 7PM Wednesday Through Saturday Morning
A fairly strong low pressure system will bring us the chance for showers and a couple thunderstorms starting tomorrow after sunset and continuing on-and-off through early Saturday. The best rain chances are Wednesday night through Friday around noon, while we are in close proximity to the center of low pressure. No severe weather is anticipated, as instability or “CAPE”, is expected to be low.
Watch out for the winds today, we currently have a Wind Advisory in place until this evening.
You may want to go ahead and secure any loose objects.
We have some spring-like weather in store for us over the next couple of days. For the remainder of our afternoon and evening today, expecting for mostly clear skies with clouds continuing to decrease through the overnight hours. If you have any outdoor plans tonight, you may want a light jacket as temperatures are expected to fall into the low 50s.
This afternoon’s severe thunderstorm winds, radar-estimated between 60-70 MPH, took down trees and power lines from Franklin toward BNA and Hermitage.
There was no tornado.
Rain should continue this afternoon — with a break late in the afternoon — then we should see more rain tonight. The HRRR model sure thinks so:
Probabilities:
What: strong to severe thunderstorms with lightning and heavy rain, containing probabilities for damaging winds, localized flooding, and maybe a tornado.
When: Right now, we think 4 PM, plus or mins an hour or so either way.
What: strong to severe thunderstorms with lightning and heavy rain, containing probabilities for damaging winds, hail, localized flooding, and maybe a tornado.
When: We aren’t exactly sure. Expect it to arrive anywhere from mid/late afternoon into tonight.
A wind advisory will likely be needed for the day on Sunday, with gusts over 40 mph possible. A developing line of showers and thunderstorms will be pushing into western Tennessee by mid-afternoon, making their way in our direction by late evening.
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