We’ll be keeping an eye on the thermometer today. Our forecast high of 86ยฐ would tie our daily record high of 86ยฐ set in 2007. Regardless of if we get there or not, it’ll be very warm, ~20ยฐ above average.
Potential Record High Today, Showers Friday PM
Cooler Start To The Week, Dry Other Than Friday
After two straight days of tying the daily record high (89ยฐ and 88ยฐ for Saturday and Sunday, respectively), a cold front has moved thru and cooled us down to closer to average for this time of the year.
Hard Freeze Tonight, Back To Warm Later This Week
We’ll have some flurries (maybe some graupel) flying around today, because why not. It was 79ยฐ yesterday.
No impacts expected. Maybeeee a dusting on some elevated surfaces or grassy areas, but again – it was 79ยฐ yesterday and most flakes will splat:melt on contact with the ground.
Potential for Severe Weather Today
A strong storm system moving across the Plains today will push a cold front through middle Tennessee tonight, bringing the risk of severe weather to Davidson and Williamson counties. The Storm Prediction Center has placed much of the area in an Enhanced Risk, which means scattered severe storms are expected and a few could be intense. The main story tonight is damaging winds and a secondary risk for tornadoes. We’re watching for CAPE to build as the line approaches which could make storms more intense. We’re also watching for dry air near the surface to pull stonger elevated winds down to the surface. Today is a day to stay weather aware and make sure your family has a plan to shelter in the even of a tornado warning. Let’s dive into the details.
Widespread Damaging Winds, Isolated Tornadoes Possible Sunday Evening/Night
- Widespread damaging straight-line winds up to 75 mph possible, isolated tornadoes cannot be ruled out
- Wind Advisory starts at 1p Sunday for gusts up to 45 mph before the storms
- Sharp drop off in temperatures post cold front, flurries possible Monday
Before we get into the severe talk, today thru Sunday afternoon will be nice. Well above average temperatures, with plenty of sun.
A Wind Advisory will go into effect starting at 1p on Sunday. Wind gusts before the storms may reach up to 40 mph. Be sure to secure any outdoor furniture – also not a bad idea to take care of any lingering tree branches that may be damaged from the ice storm if you are able to.
Increasing Potential For A Significant Damaging Wind/Low Tornado Threat Sunday Night
- Possibly significant (75+ mph), widespread damaging winds possible Sunday night, along with a low-end tornado threat
- Windy during the day on Sunday before the storms
- Cold temperatures return post cold front early next week, hard freeze Monday night
Before we get into the severe weather talk, I will briefly hit on today and Saturday. Which there’s not much to talk about, the rest of today and Saturday will be quite nice. Cold temps tonight, but we warm up nicely on Saturday with highs in the mid 70s – no rain.
Severe Weather Threat Today, Brief Cool-Down Thursday
Stay connected. Isolated intense storms are possible today with the chances of seeing these things within 25 miles of you…and associated odds: Tornado (2%), Damaging Straight-Line Wind (15%), Large Hail (5%).
Awesome Weather on The Way. But First, Storms
Take a look at that! Something for everyone. 50, 60, 70 for the last-half of the week and weekend. Incredible! And dry! Dew points will stay below 50ยบ the whole time. Can’t say enough about it.
A Few Chances for Rain and Severe
This week, temperatures remain above normal. Very springlike. But springlike also means the risk for rain and storms. Let’s get into it.
Today, our neighbors to the south have a chance for severe weather along the TN-AL border. Storms and rain could drift our way, but no significant impact is expected. A rumble of thunder might be heard in southern Williamson county. Overnight and into Tuesday our chances for rain increase. Still, scattered at best, but some overnight thunder is possible. If that’s the case our morning Dense Fog Advisory could be replaced by a Dense Dog Advisory tonight.
Low-End Severe Risk Today, Stay Connected
A line of storms is expected to arrive in our two counties in the 1-4 pm range, carrying a risk for damaging straight-line winds and possibly a tornado, although the risks are low. HRRR model from 11 am – 8 pm.
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