Monday looks fantastic, with a little bit more humidity than we saw today.
NWS-Nashville kicked off the afternoon forecast discussion with:
Models are still not handling the onset of rain for Tuesday`s system very well.
The best thinking is an afternoon ETA, but we may see rain start in the morning, especially north of I-40.
Here we are smack in the middle of what has been a very active spring severe storm season. But it looks like we’re taking a break from that this week.
NWS Nashville made a great point this morning:
“This is a remarkably uneventful forecast for April, with no severe storms or other significant wx through the next 7 days. After today, temperatures will be 5-10 degrees above normal each day.”
Once the sun goes down tonight, our temps will cool off rapidly. If you plan to be outside at any point tonight, you are going to want/need a jacket.
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…WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING…
* TIMING…through 10 pm CDT this evening
* WINDS…sustained breezy winds of 15 to 25 mph…with gusts of 40 to 45 mph possible
We have been removed from the tornado watch, and essentially all of the storms have run off to our east. While we still can not rule out a shower or two through the evening, we should not see any type of severe weather.
A tornado watch has been issued for both Davidson and Williamson Counties until 9 PM tonight.
Below is a detailed discussion about the watch issuance:
A detailed breakdown of the severe weather probabilities is listed below.
Severe weather is possible today, although the risk seems to be shifting further east.
A higher risk to the east doesn’t mean you should ignore the risk here. Risk area may be wrong. Storms don’t care where we draw these lines.
Storms are brewing tomorrow. They could be significant, damaging storms, but the forecast has uncertainties.
For a detailed breakdown from Charlie Neese, watch the Periscope he did at 8:30 PM tonight.
The lunchtime update from the Storm Prediction Center said the word “outbreak.” That’s not good. SPC mostly refers to the area to our south and southeast, and although our risk here isn’t as high as it is elsewhere, it still poses a very real, but conditional and uncertain, threat. Another update is not due from the SPC until after we go to bed
We will approach 80° today as southern winds pump warm, moist air into Middle Tennessee.
Storms are brewing tomorrow. They could be significant, damaging storms, but the forecast has uncertainties.
The lunchtime update from the Storm Prediction Center said the word “outbreak.” That’s not good. Mostly, their “outbreak” reference refers to the area to our south and southeast, but they are not discounting that here.
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