Nashville Severe Weather

Rainy Friday

The HRRR model for the mid afternoon today. It is one of the more spatially-accurate models. This shows where the low pressure center is not very organized and most of the rain will miss the Nashville area. read more

Pretty Great Thursday

The early afternoon hours are expected to be breezy with winds out of the WSW until the winds shift into the SE on Friday when the rain begins to arrive.

Rain Coming Friday Night

Current rain ETA is around 7 PM Friday night. At least that’s what the NAM3 model thinks: read more

Good morning Nashville!

The sun will continue to shine on Williamson and Davidson Counties today! We are looking at a high of around 50. Winds will be around 5-10 mph.

Tomorrow, though, is going to feel awesome outside! The sun will continue as highs rise into the mid to upper 60s. Enjoy these two days, because, by the time Friday rolls around, rain will return to the forecast. read more

Today

The cold temperatures will hang around for a day or two more as a high pressure system funnels cold, north air down into the area. Today there will be some clouds, but the sunshine breaking through will allow for very slight warming, as the high won’t reach 50 degrees. Keep a warm sweater nearby because as the sun sets, the temperatures will fall to below freezing! read more

Good morning Nashville! Alex Forbes here this morning and I am thrilled to say I will be joining NashSevereWx on a regular basis! Now to today’s forecast…

Today

Did you catch a snow shower this morning? We didn’t get much in Williamson and Davidson Counties, a dusting at best, because our temperatures stayed above freezing. However the further north you go, and out on the plateau, you will find higher snow amounts and a few minor travel impacts. The snow is done, giving way to a partly cloudy, and blustery, 48° day. Winds could reach 15-20 mph. read more

Winter Weather Advisory for Davidson County

Williamson County is excluded from the Advisory.

So, I’m going to break this down by county.

Davidson County

The Winter Weather Advisory is for the northernmost counties in Middle Tennessee. Davidson County is included as part of the second row of those northernmost counties. read more

No, not referring to this Pam:

It gets dark today at 6:51 PM.

Not that we’ll be able to watch the sun set.

HRRR Model Rain Timeline

Cloudy for most of the morning. Isolated showers expected around 1 PM today.

1 PM to 4 PM: Around 2 PM or 3 PM, a blob of light to moderate rain, with pockets of heavy rain, should move in. read more

A few minutes ago about an hour ago I was watching basketball (on mute) and Season 2, Episode 10 of The West Wing (“Noel,” one of the series’ best) when I ran across this run of the NAM3 model:

Usually I take the NAM3 with a grain of salt, but yeah, that’s rain tomorrow afternoon turning to wintry precip/snow late Sunday night into Monday morning.

So here I am listening to Pearl Jam (the official music for March snow chances) looking to make sense of it. read more

Cloudy Skies Today, Uncertainty with Showers Over the Next Two Days

A blanket of clouds currently sits over much of Middle Tennessee. Expect clouds to hang around throughout the day.

We’ve been talking about shower chances for the past few days now and luckily we may stay in the clear today. Showers are currently set up to our south and both the HRRR and NAM3 have them staying there. We still have the outside chance of a scattered shower, but no washout is expected for today. read more

Warmer Day On the Way

A southerly breeze will bump temperatures into the middle 50s today, and while some clouds will be passing through, there will be enough sunshine to get us there. It’s Friday! And for some of the kiddos/teachers/college folk out there, Spring Break officially begins today. Road conditions will be most optimal today for heading south. Rain and a few storms will make driving less pleasant on Saturday, detailed below. If you’ll be a beach bum like me, don’t forget the SPF 1,000 sunscreen. read more