Nashville Severe Weather

No Christmas or Day After Christmas rain.

Rain possible Friday but I’m unimpressed. NAM3 model shows a few weak inconsequential rainers:

Euro shows a few light rainshowers in spots:

This should not deter your Friday outdoor plans. read more

Beautiful Rest of the Week

Tuesday, aka Christmas Eve

Sunny with a high of 70°. In other words…

Christmas Day

Is it really already Christmas? It won’t feel like it though as high temps reach 72°.

… while we won`t have a White Christmas, it`s going to be a warm one. Someone want to call Santa and let him know to wear shorts?

Thursday

Partly sunny with a high of 70°. I’m loving this. read more

Clouds Push Off, Temps Rise

We’ll start to see more and more of breaks in the clouds as we progress through the mid afternoon. Rain for this afternoon will stay off to our East as it pushes out of the area. Now that the sun’s out, temps have risen quickly. We’re up to a balmy 67° at BNA as of 1:00 pm! read more

Gloomy & Rainy Sunday

We’re getting rain from the northern edge of a system passing south of us. High 58°.

HRRR model thinks rain will continue tonight, overnight, ending before sunrise Monday.

Cloudy and Cool for Today

We have a blanket of clouds over us today. This is out ahead of our next chance at rain.

Clouds should keep our high in the mid 50°s. Rain should keep away for today.

Rain Chances Build Up

This system will mainly keep to our south. Model guidance is shaky for how this moves north. The further north this system tracks, the more rain we are likely to see. read more

Today

Today’s skies are forecasted to clear, with mild temps and more sunshine. I wouldn’t be surprised if we exceed our forecasted high of 51º if these clouds give way.

Overnight low is down to 36º as clouds move back in overnight and trap the heat like a fluffy comforter.

Saturday

Saturday’s temps will be may a few degrees warmer, up to 54º. However, the could that moved in overnight will stick around. Call it mostly cloudy by afternoon. These clouds set the stage for our next chance of rain.

Rain? Model Roulette

Sometime the best models we can use to predict rain have disagreements. Actually, it’s more than sometimes. It’s something we struggle with when doing blogs like this, and something the National Weather Service is dealing with this disagreement today.

Most of the current iterations are giving southern and southeastern Middle TN some showers by Sunday. The problem is, the GFS is dry, the Euro is kinda wet and the NAM is giving all of the mid-state a deluge. read more

Cool Thursday

Sunny but chilly Thursday with a high of 46°.

Tomorrow morning we drop to 28°. Stay warm out there!

Friday thru the Weekend: Overall Nice, Slight Rain Chances

A low pressure system could bring us rain this weekend, but maybe not. If it goes far enough south, we should stay dry; however, if it ends up further north, we could see a little rain. read more

This morning a good chunk of the continent is at or below freezing, except for some regions along the coastline.

The high in and around Nashville today will barely breach into the 40°s, around 43°F.

Very cold Thursday morning: 23°. read more

Yesterday’s Storms

While we did see strong storms yesterday, mostly in S Middle Tennessee, we escaped the severe weather up in our neck of the woods. As we said yesterday, the severe threat was low and conditional, meaning it all depended on how far north the storm making ingredients got. They didn’t get very far north. So, we were left with heavy rain and lightning. If you’ve watched the news this morning, we can only be thankful that’s all we got. Thinking of those today who are having to pick up the pieces (physically and emotionally) today. read more

Severe Storm Threat This Afternoon/Evening

It was a noisy night N of I-40 last night as storms developed and dropped a lot of rain. Last night’s rain will enhance the flooding threat later today. HRRR shows storms pushing E and crossing both counties again this evening. read more