HRRR for 6:00 am Wednesday. Not hard to see the cold front. Temps will fall fast from the mid 60s to the low 40s once it passes during the morning hours.

Andrew’s made a quick run to a meet and greet at the Nolensville Farmer’s Market. Go by before 1:00 and say hi!

Housekeeping: well y’all crashed our site again. We’ve been in process of migrating to a wayyy more robust server. Should complete this weekend. So we’ll let the website smolder now and will go OG and cover this event on X.

Radar suggests a wintry mix is falling along and W of 65. Likely sleet mixed in with the rain. 7:21 pm

Lightning storm coming into Fairview and Fernvale. Bellevue/Warner Parks/Brentwood next. 11:26 am

Radar Update 10:22 am: Heavier rain missing us juuuuust off to the SE. Sneaky cell headed our way tho from the SW. Off/On showers continue through the day, some brief moderate/heavy rain possible.

First Saturday of the month. Monthly test of Williamson County tornado sirens is at 1:00 pm. Just a test.

Wind Chill Advisory Through Sunday Morning

The brutal cold is the big story. More on that in just a bit. First, quick note about the snow.

Light snow showers across the area have been stubborn to dissipate today with some sites still reporting light snow or flurries ongoing this afternoon. So a dusting or a quick half inch of snow isn`t out of the question still through this afternoon, but all of this should wind down within the next few hours.

NWS Nashville

If you get a quick burst of snow, roads can deteriorate quickly on a local level, even if just for a few minutes. Take it easy out there.

Brutal Cold…Again

Temps will plumet through what’s left of the 20’s, through the teens and end up down in the single digits by sunrise Saturday. 6° is the official forecast. Your mileage may vary.

Combined with the winds, wind chill values will be below zero.

Rinse and repeat for Saturday and Saturday night. By sunrise Sunday morning, temps will bottom out around 3°.

Seems like we were just here, but here are some reminders:

Also, hypothermia is a real thing. Take precautions against it if you must go outside.

What’s Next?

At the risk of crying happy tears while I write this, I am thrilled to share… there’s a heat wave coming.

Ehh, gonna take a bit for stuff to thaw out.

Temps rebound into the mid-40s on Monday, and we’re into the LOW 60’s THURSDAY. I can’t even.

Rain will be returning, though. GFS thinks we’ll have several rounds of rain Tuesday-Friday. Don’t read into timings from this model. Just wanted to show green instead of a buncha blue.

The good news (other than the temps) is that we could pick up a couple of inches of rainfall over the next 7 days, which would help the continuing drought situation.

Quick References:

Weather changes constantly.
Follow @NashSevereWx on Twitter for any changes to this forecast.

Live coverage during tornado and severe thunderstorm warnings:

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Check Your Storm Drains and Gutters, Rain’s Coming!

Forecast rain amounts have increased in the last 24 hours, with widespread 2-3 inch rainfall expected between Friday evening and Sunday evening.

Now that the leaves have fallen, this is a good time to check the drainage on your property and clear out any gutters/drains/culverts/ditches that are designed to carry water away. While the flood threat is low, clogged drains could create an issue.

Timing: On/Off sprinkles & showers (mostly off) begin late Friday evening, continuing Saturday. The vast majority of our rain appears to fall overnight Saturday into early Sunday morning.

Severe Threat: SPC has outlooked those W of I-65 for the possibility of damaging straight line winds Saturday night as our main rain/”storm” event arrives. The risk of said damaging winds is low and so is our anxiety level. The “best” storm ingredients will remain off to our SW. Subject to change. We’ll provide updates.

Snow: Yesterday’s note in the blog still applies. You may hear local mets discuss snow – they cover the plateau, too, so they have to mention it – there’s no compelling evidence for this system to bring us snow as the system departs Sunday.

Drought Update: Our drought is still a thing, although it has improved some. We’re now in Moderate/Severe Drought categories. This weekend’s rain should help things.

Temps: Some cold air will definitely blow through as our weekend system departs.

Quick References:

Weather changes constantly.
Follow @NashSevereWx on Twitter for any changes to this forecast.

Live coverage during tornado and severe thunderstorm warnings:

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High Temperature Records In Jeopardy

Record highs in Nashville for Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday are 79°, 80° and 83°, according to the National Weather Service. If we don’t tie or break those records this week, we’ll be awfully close. We’ll cool off behind a cold front for the weekend, but still not seeing any freezing temps in the long range computer models.

Precip

This cold front will bring rain chances, which we could really use. The window for rain opens on Thursday (mostly afternoon) and closes during the day Friday.

NWS Blend of Models drops around three quarters of an inch of rain on us Thursday/Friday. This would cause rainouts if these amounts hold true.

Weather 101 Continues

Our local National Weather Service office is continuing their free Weather 101 classes this week. Sign-up if you’re interested!

Quick References:

Weather changes constantly.
Follow @NashSevereWx on Twitter for any changes to this forecast.

Live coverage during tornado and severe thunderstorm warnings:

Look good.
Support the mission.

Shop Merch | Nashville Severe Weather

We are 100% community supported. No ads. No subscription fees. Keep it free for everyone.