Snow will pile up across Texas, Louisiana, and Mississippi today and tonight.
Monday this system will turn into Tennessee and weaken.
We may get no local snow. The best snow chances are between us and Chattanooga.
Low Expectations for Snow Monday
Cold Rain (Maybe Some Snowflakes) Possible Monday
Here’s a quick rundown of how today’s gonna go:
Sunday will be a little sunnier, and a little warmer.
Snow Chances Monday
Unfortunately, they’re not looking great right now.
Here’s what the National Weather Service has to say about this system:
Low Confidence Chance of Snow Monday
About Last Night
The line between rain and snow isn’t always east or west like it was last night.
It’s also a matter of elevation.
Snow in Boston, TN (SW Will Co) hit 3.5″ last night. Legit snowmen were rolled up in Leiper’s Fork:
Snow Chance Tonight and Friday, Maybe Even on Monday
Snow Potential Tonight And Friday Morning
The real story here is that rain will begin pretty soon. JK the real story is that there is a non-zero chance of snow tonight and tomorrow morning. Let’s dive in…
After the afternoon rain event today (mainly after 5pm), temperatures will drop below freezing and that rain will transition into a rain/snow mix.
Nashville, although, is only expected to see less than half an inch. If anything, we will just get a dusting.
In general, impacts remain low. Temps should hover just a little bit above freezing at the surface in Nashville, but in the hollers, if it’s colder, bridges and overpasses could be impacted. Regardless, if you plan on traveling anywhere tonight or tomorrow morning, be cautious!
Let’s take a look at forecast models.
The Euro model (above) shows the snow Friday staying to the east. Other models show lingering moisture and weak lift which should be enough for some areas to see flurries.
Here’s what the NWS says…
IT STILL LOOKS LIKE THERE MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF MIXED PRECIP THIS MORNING ON THE LEADING EDGE OF THE PRECIP WEST OF I-65 AND LOOKS TO BE ALL RAIN THROUGH THE DAY THEREAFTER. AFTER SUNSET, TEMPS WILL DROP TO THE MID 30S BEFORE 9 PM, AND PRECIP WILL CHANGE FROM RAIN TO A RAIN/SNOW MIX, FOLLOWED BY ALL SNOW JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER ELEVATIONS INCLUDING THE PLATEAU MAY COOL OFF A FEW DEGREES SOONER, AND SEE ALL SNOW BEFORE MIDNIGHT. SHOULD TEMPS COOL OFF A BIT SOONER AREA WIDE, WE MAY SEE MORE SNOW, AND IN THE OTHER DIRECTION, SHOULD TEMPS STAY WARMER, SNOW WILL BE DELAYED AND AMOUNTS WOULD DECREASE.
Cold Rain (and Maybe Some Snowflakes) Thursday Night and Friday Morning, A Look at Monday
The HRRR shows some showers popping up around 6 pm Thursday. They’re expected to be out of the region by the midmorning hours Friday.
This doesn’t look to be a washout – rain totals will be anywhere from a tenth to a quarter of an inch.
Sometimes, Snow Happens. Usually, Not So Much (here’s the cold rain y’all ordered). Watching Thursday & Monday.
Thursday morning the HRRR model thinks our rain system will be near the MS/LA/AR intersection with rain on its northeast side. Notice it has a snow band in West Tennessee. That’s not expected to impact us (but yeah, we’re watching it).
Frozen Precipitation Thursday. But, Probably Just Rain.
Sunny Beginning of the Week
Today will be the warmest day in the next seven days ahead. We’re pushing a bit above average. That’ll change starting Tuesday.
Nothing but sunshine these next few days!
Thursday Night Rain/Frozen Precip? It’s All About the Timing of Cold Temperatures
Both the Euro and GFS have rain beginning around noon Thursday moving out of Middle Tennessee by midnight.
Rain Probable Thursday.
Sunday: The Beginning of a Quiet Forecast
You may have been graced by a few snowflakes this morning. Those are gone, and the rest of the day should be mostly sunshine.
Tonight, temperatures will dip below freezing, to around 31º.
* * * *
Chance of Showers Tonight, Rain Break Starting Tomorrow.
Clouds and cooler temps for this Saturday afternoon until rain chances increase for tonight.
Light rain showers could begin this evening begin after 7pm and may continue until 5am.
High today is 51 degrees.
Showers and Thunderstorms Move East, Incoming Cold Front Tonight, Another Chance of Showers Tomorrow
Happy New Year!
Out with the old and in with the new. We wish you a happy and healthy new year!
Rain Moves Out of the Area
Maybe you woke up to some moderate pattering on your window this morning, maybe you didn’t.
The last of the showers and thunderstorms from this system is pushing off to the east and leaving us with a really nice day outside.
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