Today, we get a glimpse into Spring. A mix of clouds and sun should carry us through the day as high temps top out around 64°.
A system approaching from the west will bring some showers and an eventual drop in temps. This system is not similar to heavy rain events we’ve become all too used to lately. This one will drop a quarter to a half inch of rainfall.
Showers are currently moving into the area from the west. Nothing heavy, but enough to probably want an umbrella or some sort of buffer.
The chance of rain is low after that, but not nonexistent. Here’s the HRRR model through tonight:
Light rain possible but not guaranteed tomorrow. HRRR model predicts tiny showers mid/late afternoon under 0.1″, and not everyone would get them:
Euro thinks we’ll be cloudy, but not raining. If it does rain there won’t be enough rain to cancel anything.
After a bitter start to the morning we’re not going to get too much warmer through the afternoon. Even with the sun out and giving us a little sense of “warmth”, we’ll only be up to 36° for the high.
Besides some potential drizzle, the rain finally clears out today. If this is your reaction reading this, we understand.
Clouds linger with temperatures stuck in the low 40°s.
Cool northwesterly winds will be 10-15 MPH with gusts as high as 20 MPH. This will put wind chills below freezing this afternoon.
Our severe weather risk is over, but flooding concerns remain. NWS-Nashville issued an Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisory for the middle of Nashville through 8:45 PM.
Light rain will linger then end sometime before midnight. We’re watching local creek and river gauges and will tweet any flood warnings issued by NWS-Nashville. It can take hours for flooding to occur.
The entire area will be at risk for flash flooding tonight when the heaviest rain moves through. Recent excessive rainfall saturated our soil and rose area rivers, creeks, and streams. We are vulnerable to flash flooding, especially tonight when it’s most dangerous because you can’t really see the water on the road in front of you.
We’re going to get a small break from the showers this afternoon and evening. The clouds are still going to stick around though and keep our high temperature at 48°.
Here’s the HRRR model through 5:00 am tomorrow morning.
Most of us received between three-quarters of an inch to an inch of rain around dawn this morning, which is why you probably noticed streams running pretty high on your way into work this morning. There were no flooding problems, but it’s obvious the ground is soaked, and anything that falls for the foreseeable future has no interest in soaking in. It’s going straight to a stream or river.
Windy, otherwise beautiful Sunday. High 59.
Rain incoming. Heaviest Monday, then again Wednesday & Wednesday night.
ETA early Monday morning before the AM commute, lasting off and on into the evening, but as far as we can tell, mostly “on” during this time.
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