Tonight’s storm used just about all the storm fuel, leaving nothing behind to power a second line coming in later. We think the second line will be weak. Maybe some lightning, but mostly just rain. Davidson County’s Tornado Watch has been cancelled. Will Co’s Tornado Watch will probably be cancelled before 2 AM.
The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Tornado Watch for Davidson and Williamson Counties until 2 AM.
The Watch reflects concern a line of storms, ETA between 11 PM and 2 AM, will produce tornadoes. Most models are trending toward a midnight to 1 AM ETA, but you should remain alert for warnings and ETA changes until this line passes. Storms may arrive early. Storms will form a line and come in from the northwest.
Our severe weather risk has been upgraded and could very well be upgraded again later today by the Storm Prediction Center. We are looking at a damaging wind and large hail event for tonight through the early morning hours. A tornado is less likely, but possible.
We’ve got a few spotty showers making their way across Middle Tennessee this morning and into the afternoon. Some of us may see some wet pavement in a few spots, but barely registering in any rain buckets.
Storms are more likely Wednesday, less likely Tuesday.
No/few storms Tuesday thru 7 PM per HRRR model:
Models are quiet Tuesday night. Storms show up on the NAM3 model around sunrise Wednesday morning but those look weak.
Mostly sunny, highs Sunday (today) 77°, and 79° Monday.
Humidity will rise each day this week. Dewpoints in the low 60s Tuesday and Wednesday.
Models believe it’ll rain Tuesday.
A specific ETA is unknown because although models agree it’ll rain, they aren’t sure when. Rain could begin as early as Tuesday morning or as late as Tuesday afternoon, and should clear out by Wednesday morning. The rain should come in short waves with no expected rainouts, but, on Tuesday night . . .
We have a few light showers to our northwest. A sprinkle or two that may or may not reach us before noon. Other than that, expect clouds and a high near 75°F.
The warm trend continues. High temperature is about the same for Sunday. Chance of showers will linger but will be low.
Plenty of sun today, 71° the afternoon high. If you look at radar you’ll see showers in west Tennessee moving east, but models do not think they’ll get here.
Saturday is almost the exact same, a little warmer at 74°.
Thursday’s high reaches 66° with mostly sunny skies. Copy and paste this for Friday, but with a high temp of 77°.
This was me reading this forecast.
Saturday starts partly sunny, then a light rain system moves close by Saturday night and Sunday. It may or may not produce local rain. Models think the system is weak, lacking rainmaking and storm-making ingredients. Some of us may get a little rain, no washout.
Today, after a chilly morning, the sun will warm us up to 57° as north winds attempt to keep things relatively cool.
The main story is a gradual increase in temperatures under a mix of clouds and sun. No rain in expected until this weekend. More on that in a bit.
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