Showers Today, Wintery Mix Possible Tonight

A line of rain has arrived. No severe weather/flooding concerns. Can’t rule out an isolated thunderstorm here or there, but most will see just showers.

Showers transition into a wintry mix late tonight as temps dip to at/below freezing. Models are in pretty good agreement as far as precip type/accumulation goes. Not much more than a dusting expected for our area (less than a half inch). read more

Freezing Fog Advisory till 9; Wintery Mix Wednesday? Maybe

Freezing fog has already formed early this morning. A dense freezing fog advisory is in effect until 9am this morning. Some extra time for your morning commute may be needed. Patchy black ice is still a road hazard to look out for this morning. Overpasses, areas of elevation and neighborhood/back roads can have hazards stay around longer due to slower melting. Temps get up to the high 40’s today so significant melting is on the way as we go throughout the day. read more

Winter Storm Watch, But The Forecast Remains Highly Variable.

The Winter Storm Watch begins for all of Middle Tennessee tonight at 6 PM and ends Sunday at 6 PM.

Looks like rain today will pause for a few hours then resume tonight. Overnight into early Sunday morning it should changeover to a wintry mix, then snow. The snow will be a wet, heavy snow. Somewhere in Middle Tennessee it could lay down snowfall rates around 1″ to 2” an hour. read more

an essay on the “probably a snowstorm” coming our way this weekend

on presnow days like this I spend a few hours looking at models and reading forecast discussions. i do one other thing, and that’s trying to keep my brain brew cold, which means i’ll spend 15 minutes beating up my somehow iced over fridge icemaker, picking up the ice pieces that fall on the floor from all the pounding. i don’t mind admitting to you that when i am beating up the machine i am sometimes definitely cursing at it. the forecast and the ice machine are a mess. read more