Steeplechase forecast: Occasional Rain and Storms

Rest of Today and Tonight

For the rest of our afternoon the skies will remain mostly cloudy, with temps reaching near 73° for our high. The clouds are going to stick around with us as we approach the evening hours, when our next line of showers moves into the area. Rain and a few storms will be arriving sometime between 8pm-9pm and will move through our area overnight. Temperatures will drop into the upper 50s for the overnight low. read more

Weekend Update!

Waves of rain coming.

FRIDAY

The first isn’t much of a wave. A cold front will cross Friday morning. It’ll bring a few light showers. No appreciable rainfall expected. So let’s not count that one. read more

Few Showers Leftover This Evening; Rainy Weekend Ahead

Thursday Night and Friday

Mild and humid with isolated showers and a possible thunderstorm. Areas of fog overnight. Severe weather is not anticipated.

The latest HRRR thinks there won’t be much from this evening through tomorrow afternoon: read more

8 AM Update. Rain Coming. Windy Too. Storms Meh. Severe Concerns Decreasing.

8 AM UPDATE

Looks like a rain + wind event. A few storms possible, main concerns lightning and strong winds.

STORM PREDICTION CENTER PROBABILITIES OF X WITHIN 25 MILES, 8 AM Update

Tornado: we are removed from risk area. Insufficient instability the reason. Previous outlook said 2%. read more

Rainy, Stormy Day. Hazards & Timing.

NWS-NASHVILLE OVERVIEW

Some strong to severe thunderstorms are possible today, with the main threat being damaging winds. Hail and a few brief tornadoes are possible as well, but chances are low. Localized flash flooding will also be possible for areas that receive multiple rounds of heavy rain today. read more

Rain/Storms Beginning Tomorrow, Possible Wet Weekend

Today

Today will be a beautiful day.

Winds will be around 5-15 MPH, but we could also see gusts as high as 25 MPH.

[Editor’s Note/Fun Fact: If we reach our forecast high of 88°, this would be the warmest day so far this calendar year.] read more

Next Rain & Storm Event Thursday. Weekend Wet, Timing Uncertain.

Tuesday Afternoon through Wednesday

Mid to upper 80s today (Tuesday) and Wednesday.

Wednesday will be the last good time to get any yard work done before higher humidity and rain arrives Thursday.

The NAM3 model thinks rain will fizzle before arriving Wednesday night: read more

Messy Thursday, Saturday/Steeplechase Recommendation

Rain ETA as early as Wednesday night, but bet on a Thursday rain ETA. Right now outdoor events Wednesday night look safe.

Very little good high res data available between hours 60 and 90, which is how many hours we are from this event. Thankful for Euro model 90 hour data which suggests rain arriving sometime middle of the day Thursday and lasting Thursday night into the overnight hours. But one run of one model is no way to plan life, so expect updates/changes/refinements to this prophesy. read more

Watching Strong/Severe Storm Potential Thursday

Today: Comfortable

Yesterday’s rain is gone. It went east.

Patchy fog/light mist is possible this morning and maybe early this afternoon.

Otherwise, high of 72°. Mostly cloudy. Sunshine may break through late this afternoon. read more

Two Shots of Rain Today; Drier Sunday; Uncertain Rain Chances by Mid-Week

Today and Tonight

Rain will be moving into the area throughout the day. It looks like there will be two rounds. The first round this morning with another round tonight.

The NAM3 has the first round moving through between 10 AM to 1 PM, second round from 7 PM to 10 PM: read more