45 today, 27 Thursday morning, up to 53 Thursday afternoon, all clear/sunny.
We’re 15.41″ above normal for rain this year. Superwet February 2019 is the main reason for that.
Rain window opens Thursday night and closes Saturday afternoon. Off and on mostly. Cold too, lows mid/upper 30s, highs around 50. Rain is most likely Friday afternoon and Saturday morning, but it could fall at any time during that window.
Today snow fell at 10,000 feet and 5,000 feet and even at 2,000 feet but before it could reach us on earth along came the Dry Air Monster. He ate it all up.
Suppose you’re standing at a sink holding a hand towel and a shot glass of water. Put the hand towel between the shot glass and the sink. Then pour the water onto the towel. The water is absorbed into the towel. The water never makes it into the sink.
Air temperature as of 11:00 AM: 35°.
Temperatures may fluctuate some today. However, according to our nearest road sensor at the Kentucky border, road surfaces are running about 8° higher than the air temp for now. That’s good news, but may change later tonight. More on that below.
Read this entire post to be well informed. If you don’t want to read the whole thing, probably better off not reading it at all.
It starts as off and on rain Tuesday morning.
Rain, sleet, and snow mix in Tuesday morning.
It’s not a “minor” travel impact to you if you slide into an overpass wall, so be smart out there. Fortunately we have a traffic problem and no one goes more than 25 MPH anymore.
But first:
New model data arrived. NWS-Nashville made maps you need to see for Tuesday. Forecast is evolving. Snow forecast is trending upwards but forecast confidence remains low.
All quotes from NWS-Nashville.
Meh.
High temperature: 60°.
Skies: starting great, getting cloudy later.
Winds: 5-15 MPH with gusts as high as 20 MPH.
Showers possible very late Sunday night, light and brief, probably while most sleep, maybe lingering into the AM rush hour. So thinks the NAM3 model:
We will hit a high near 56°F today, with some clouds hanging around.
Saturday is leading us with an excellent start to the weekend. If you have any outdoor activities or need to decorate for Christmas, today is the best of the best.
We’ve dealt with scattered showers throughout the morning, but those will quickly be on their way out. The latest HRRR model has these showers fizzling out for much of us no later than 5PM-6PM:
HOW MUCH RAIN?
Today:
It may start as soon as late tonight: a few scattered showers.
The majority of the rain will move through Friday.
TIMING
The NAM3 model shows the heaviest rain passing through in the afternoon, and fizzling out Friday night.
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