Our first round of storms has already pushed off to the Northeast, but what we’re really going to watch is the greater threat with the second round of storms ahead of a cold front moving through this afternoon and evening. The Storm Prediction Center is currently monitoring these storms moving in from the West. We are listed in a mesoscale discussion. You can find it here….
Rain this morning moved out. Dry the rest of the day, clouds maybe breaking up a bit and providing a few rays of sunshine this afternoon. Temps a little below average, afternoon high 60°.
Threats: The primary threat will be damaging winds and large hail. Tornadoesare less likely than damaging winds or hail, but still possible. Below, NWS-Nashville breaks down threats on a 0-5 threat scale:
Scattered light rain approaching late this afternoon, should be here tonight and continue heavier overnight, ending with just under 0.5″ sometime early Monday morning.
Heavier rain and non-severe storms expected between here and Nooga after 3 AM Monday . . .
A break from the rain gives us a quiet Saturday. We have a few clouds, no big deal.
It’s also a bit chilly today, along with that northeast wind. We know it is spring but keep that jacket nearby for now. The high will be around 55°F today. Our low tonight will dip into the upper 30°s.
Scattered showers and storms this morning will lead into more widespread storms this afternoon, especially along/East of I-65. Here’s the HRRR:
No severe weather is expected, but we still could see a few stronger storms this afternoon that bring heavy downpours and strong wind gusts of 40-50 mph. These showers and storms unfortunately will hang around Middle Tennessee into the evening hours.
Showers moved through the area this morning.
Weaker showers are forming to our southwest and may or may not make it here today. They’re scattered and light and will probably miss us. For most of the day, we should stay dry until late tonight.
Late this morning a warm front will lift north over us. Go outside later, you’ll feel it, rising dewpoints, rising humidity.
When rain this morning in Memphis gets to us sometime this afternoon, it’ll encounter a low amount of instability
Rain today should pull out before 4 PM, but clouds linger.
Up to 74F Wednesday. A stiff south breeze will transport moisture, while energy passing through sets off another round of off and on rain and maybe some thunderstorms throughout Wednesday.
Scattered to widespread showers hang around Middle Tennessee all morning. We expect to begin to dry out between 5PM-7PM, so today isn’t a complete washout, but if you’re heading out before then, take the umbrella. Here’s what the HRRR model thinks might happen:
Sometimes they do a “growl” for certain sirens (not a full wail) for testing purposes, but until this morning I was never exactly sure when they might do it.
Sirens are a secondary warning method for those outside. You aren’t guaranteed to hear them. Best to have a wake-me-up app on your phone and a NOAA weather radio in your house. Sirens aren’t designed to be heard inside and there’s no guarantee you will always hear them outside either, especially if you’ve got your earbuds in, Denise.
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