A quiet day on tap for middle Tennessee to start the weekend. A frontal boundary has moved out of the area leaving temperatures near 50 degrees for our high today and tomorrow.
Dry conditions will continue for most of the day tomorrow before our next round of rain moves in overnight tomorrow into early Sunday morning.
According to the HRRR, scattered showers may begin moving through as early as noon. More substantial rain will develop later this afternoon/tonight. Timing for that looks to be around 4pm. Everything should be gone just before midnight.
Pretty steady temps this afternoon in the mid-40s with mostly sunny skies. Expecting dry conditions to last from now until early Thursday morning.
Clouds will be on the increase late this afternoon into tonight as our next round of rain approaches tomorrow morning.
Dry, cool, and windy today. Mostly sunny with those winds at 15 mph gusting 20.
Same story for Wednesday, sunny and cool, but winds will be calmer.
A front will drive in a about six hours of light, then moderate, then briefly heavy rain sometime Thursday, most likely Thursday night.
Will and I discussed what Blerg really means.
The dictionary definition of Blerg is (1) temps under 40°, (2) no sun, and (3) no snow. This dictionary lives on our timeline, no where else, sorry Miriam, not sorry Webster.
Models have been consistent. Snow incoming after midnight tonight. The HRRR model:
Falling snow, and accumulating snow, are two different things.
The current expectation is nothing to a half inch:
Snow falling is more likely than snow accumulating.
Rain stays to a minimum this afternoon for Nashville but we can expect some overcast skies into the overnight hours as well.
We top out in the upper 50s for today. Our chance to see some light snow will be closer to overnight tonight.
Radar from 9:40 CST shows precipitation sitting just off to our west.
Radar is constantly updating, so for the most recent run visit https://nashvillesevereweather.com/radar/.
Once again, dry air near the surface will gobble up precipitation before it reaches the ground. See the large dry air slot (space between the red and green lines on the sounding) between the surface and 700mb? Yeah, you can thank the Dry Air Monster for that.
Relative humidity will drop near/below 45% Saturday morning. That’s really dry for us. Fires may be uncontrollable because south winds will blow 10-15 MPH.
Smoldering smokesticks staying in your ride and not on the grassy median would be lovely thanks.
The U.S. West Coast is getting mudslides and epic snowfalls. It’s supercold in the northeast.
Here, not so much.
Models disagree about Saturday afternoon. Most think a rain wave will pass by but dry air will gobble it up the drops before they reach the ground.
You must be logged in to post a comment.