The low pressure trough is finally leaving our area, and starting to take the rain with it. Key word “starting.”

So can I actually go outside today?

The HRRR shows scattered storms mostly in the afternoon and evening, but they look significantly more scattered than in previous days. This means there should be some gaps in the rain, if you wanted to run some errands or go for an actual run. You’re probably sick of hearing this by now, but precise timing of when it will and will not be raining is hard to say. read more

Low pressure will hang around two more days, causing a “will it or won’t it” downpour risk. Today should look like the past few days – scattered showers and storms — some dry, others getting a show. NWS doesn’t expect anything too intense out of these storms, other than some heavy rain and wind, maybe lightning. read more

Continue to Blame the Low

You can keep thanking the annoying upper-level low for your recent weather woes. We want it to go away, too.

We also wish there were clearly defined start/stop times. We have things to do, too.

But the weather is trolling schedules and plans read more

Low pressure over Arkansas is bringing us rain for the next couple days.

Today

HRRR shows a line of showers moving in this afternoon after lunch. As instability builds, the rain blob will break apart into scattered showers and off and on thunderstorms. Lightning possible. Timing is difficult for any one location. These models run hourly, each run has a different idea. read more

Damp Sunday

There is plenty of moisture in the atmosphere for rain and storms today.

HRRR thinks the rain will slowly make its way up from the south over the course of the day. It also shows some pop-up thunderstorms in the afternoon. No real severe threat. read more

No Storms!

A frontal passage from early this morning cleared the showers and storms out of our area. High pressure is centered over our region today and will keep the weather dry and sunny. HRRR expects no rain in the Davidson and Williamson Co. area. It does show some small showers pop up briefly around 5 PM, but they go around us. read more

This morning’s sounding is showing a lot of moisture moving into the area that will help to generate thunderstorms, some severe. Up to this point, there hasn’t been much more than spotty showers. There is a break in the rain for now, but prepare for severe weather to ramp up as instability increases into the afternoon. Good news! This event is not expected to be widespread. The main concern with these storms is straight-line winds, but tornadoes are not outside of the realm of possibility . We are currently at a 2% probability for tornadoes and 5% probability for T-storm winds exceeding about 60 mph. Chances of hail are negligible. read more