Outdoor plans are going to be difficult today as a surface low pressure system tracks off to our south. Moisture will become amplified as the afternoon hours progress.
Here is what the HRRR thinks will happen today. Notice the pockets of heavier rain towards sunset; we may hear a rumble of thunder to two. We are not expecting anything in the way of severe weather.
This pic is from The Gulch Cam as it basks in the sunshine and 60° temps as of 1:00 pm. 61° is our forecast high for today, so we’ll see if we nudge a degree or two above that. I’m sure we won’t mind if we do. If you like sunshine, enjoy today. Here’s why:
Clouds have arrived! We are going to see more clouds today than previously thought. Here’s what you’ll notice about the temps when you step outside later this afternoon: 55°! SSW winds, which could be a tad gusty, will bring in warmer air that will help us get up into those mid-50s, but the lack of direct sunlight will keep it from feeling quite as glorious. Hey, we’ll take it, for sure! If the clouds do manage to squeeze out a few sprinkles of rain, it will be a negligible amount.
David, Will and I (this is Andrew) are good for each other. We’re the kind of friends that sit around and text each other at night about weather data. At 7:39 pm, David said “Feels like it’s gonna fog.” We continued by exchanging weather data numbers that would appear, to some, to be some kind of lock combination. It was a blast.
The precipitation is over but the cold air is sticking around. Wind chills will keep us feeling near/below freezing.
With clearing skies overnight, temperatures will fall to 20º Tuesday morning.
Add that north wind and . . . Bundle up!
Most of Nashville and Will Co stayed just above freezing tonight. Those in far north Nashville, and anyone at elevation, saw icing.
Trees ice-glazed in Oak Hill. Elevation matters. pic.twitter.com/CzzfBH7avW
If we were about five degrees colder right now everyone would be:
But, we’re in the mid 30°s, embracing uncertainty as part of the social contract involved in, you know, living here and stuff.
A light, drizzly rain has worked its way into Davidson and Williamson counties this morning. By now we should just be seeing rain fall, but a flake or two could be in the mix.
After Will’s morning blog forecast and my Twitter review of model data, NWS-Nashville held a special briefing, the substance of which you’ll read below.
In 6 tweets, this morning I laid out all the model data on Twitter. You can read it here.
Rain will likely hold off all day today, though a stay rain or sleet shower isn’t out of the question tonight. What you will notice today and tonight is the cold. It won’t get much warmer than 40º for most of us and the wind chill will make it feel like freezing or below all night.
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