Windy today. High 62°.
Yesterday afternoon, a Winter Weather Advisory was issued for tonight/early Tuesday morning. Winter Weather Advisories require snowfall of at least 1″.
Last night, most models trended toward less snow. NAM3, HRRR, even the GFS joined the “less snow” trend advertised by the Euro model all weekend.
It’ll be almost 60° Monday afternoon. Windy.
Monday night, warm southwest winds will turn west, then northwest, blowing in arctic air.
And with that, precip. More about this below.
Monday night after midnight, temps will nosedive below freezing, falling to 22° around sunrise. Anything wet will freeze in the early hours of Tuesday morning.
Pretty great today (high 49°) and Monday (high 58°!).
Rest of the week, not so much.
Tuesday’s snow potential + exceptionally cold temps prompted NWS-Nashville to issue this Special Weather Statement for all of Middle Tennessee:
Surface high pressure has settled over our state today bringing mostly clear skies this morning, which will become partly cloudy later today.
With few clouds in place and high pressure influence, we’ll warm into the low 40°s this afternoon.
You’re here to read about Tuesday so let’s speed through the weekend. (All quotes from NWS-Nashville).
BNA reported 36° after lunch. We won’t get much/any warmer today.
Back below freezing tonight and overnight with wind chills in the 20°s.
At 6PM we’re sitting at 38° and looking dry. Clouds cleared out early but they’ll soon return as a cold front approaches. There was mention of very light snow flurries earlier, but now models don’t seem to be picking them up. We might be lacking the moisture needed to get snowflakes to form.
No snow tonight.
The precip moved east, faster than all models thought.
Foiled again by cold air chasing the precip.
At 7:25 PM, BNA reported 43°. At 8:05 PM, it’s 39°. And falling.
Rainwater continues running off the roads. Runoff means less water to freeze.
TIMING: Until 3 PM CST today
WINDS: Breezy south winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts around 40 mph.
IMPACTS: Gusty winds can cause tree and branch damage. Loose outdoor objects may be blown around. High profile vehicles, especially those traveling on east-west roadways, may experience travel difficulties.
Clouds are arriving. Rain is coming Wednesday, and it may turn to snow Wednesday night.
Alert! Editor’s Rant. This isn’t about you most of you. Warning: what you’re about to skip over read is indulgent and arguably therapeutic (for me). If you came here for No Rants, Just Weather, I respect that, skip the blue words.
Today things will be warming up and quite mild overnight tonight. Breezy, but really pleasant for mid January, or early November for that matter. Rain will begin late Tuesday night as a precursor to a change coming through the day Wednesday.
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