Beautiful and sunny across the Mid State this afternoon! High temperatures will reach right around 87 degrees but it will be comfortable as dew points remain in the 50s.
Satellite as of 12:45 pm shows a few clouds forming this afternoon, but nothing to worry about.
Another beautiful and sunny day in store for us in Middle Tennessee this afternoon!
Rain chances? None. All sun and lower temperatures? Definitely!
Today’s high will be near 84°, around 5 degrees below average for this time of year. Dewpoints also will be fairly comfortable, up to 60°.
Fortunately, I have some great news.
All the rain has finally pushed out of the area.
Today’s high temperature will reach a high of 83° (the average is 90°).
Dewpoints will be in the lower 60s and drop to the upper 50s later this evening. For reference:
Flash Flood Warnings are expiring as the rain moves east.
The nasty stuff is gone.
The HRRR model shows a few light showers coming thru late tonight. Clear by sunrise.
Watch the driest air (in blue) come in overnight, then go west toward Memphis, what a tease:
As of 8:41 AM CDT, the temp is 79°F with a dew point of 73°F. Tropical moisture is here, ready for a cold front to tap into it.
This afternoon, cloud cover.
Late this afternoon, the rain begins.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH
If you guessed more scattered showers for today, then you are correct.
Here’s the HRRR model:
Here’s the NAM3 model, which keeps us drier during the day, but gives us some sprinkles of rain tonight:
More heat!
If you’re having a pool party for your birthday, you picked a pretty good one. Happy Birthday!
The temps will hover around 93 with a heat index of 101º. But, keep an eye on the radar this afternoon…there is also a chance for showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. If thunder roars, go indoors!
The National Weather Service in Nashville sum things up in a special weather statement issued early this morning.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS MID STATE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 99 TO 104 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED FOR LOCATIONS WEST OF CUMBERLAND PLATEAU
A Heat Advisory is in effect from 12 PM CDT to 7 PM CDT.
Dangerously hot and humid conditions will persist across the Mid State region today as a ridge of high pressure in the upper part of the atmosphere takes control of our weather. High temperatures will top out around 95 degrees this afternoon with dew points in the mid 70s. This will cause heat indices to soar to near 105 degrees making for oppressive and dangerous conditions.
A Heat Advisory will be in effect from 12 PM CDT to 7 PM CDT.
This means dangerously hot and humid conditions are possible in and around our area. Head indices could reach 105°F.
I use the word could because of uncertainty with where the heat index goes.
Unfortunately, scattered showers are still in the forecast for today.
Here’s the HRRR model:
The NAM3 model keeps us a little drier.
Hope for the NAM3, but prepare for the HRRR today just in case more scattered showers find us.
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