Excellent next 4 days.
Rain today will be east of us.
It won’t rain here until late Sunday night into Monday.
Sweaty humidity Sunday and Monday.
Severe weather Monday? Nah. Probably just rain.
Look for off and on rain Monday through Wednesday. Very little each day.
Rain and storms are expected around lunch into early afternoon.
HRRR model thinks it’ll arrive between 1 PM and 2 PM.
Lightning is possible but unlikely. About 0.2″ or less expected:
These storms will feed off a narrow strip of storm fuel. But — severe weather is not expected.
A mix of sun and clouds, and a temperature around 78°. No rain in the forecast until later tonight.
Rain chances will be with us beginning tonight and will close sometime Thursday. To our west, we will be watching a pretty stout line of storms push our direction. We think this line of storms will be weakening as it approaches.
Sunshine and 72° as of 4:00 pm. This has been a fantastic day.
Tuesday will be similar, a bit warmer, with highs around 77°.
Tuesday night, our next system will swing in bringing a chance for rain and thunderstorms. The window for rain opens Tuesday late afternoon and closes Thursday morning.
Yesterday’s Wilson/Smith Co. Tornado.
Just before 4:45 PM, the line that came through north Williamson County/south Davidson County tapped higher instability and slightly more favorable tornadomaking ingredients.
Today we’ll see waves or rain, and possibly some strong to severe storms.
Today will be around 72º with plenty of mid-day sun.
Low pressure moves from west to east Saturday. Showers may start as early as midnight tonight, and will get wider in coverage through the morning. Strongest winds will be around mid-day and stick around through Sunday.
A surface low is passing by, strengthening winds. Expect 40 MPH wind gusts this morning, afternoon, and early evening, then relaxing later tonight.
Something is up.
That something is rain and storms breaking out just after lunch, then scattering and moving east through the afternoon, ending just before midnight. Like this:
A brief shower possible early tonight (Wednesday).
The real rain event begins around midnight. Here it is from midnight to 5 AM Thursday:
NWS-Nashville thinks more than a half inch of rain. Storms are possible with shear off the charts (again) but zero instability (again) so no tornado or hail concerns.
Plenty of sunshine. Northwest winds are gusty (gusting to 22 mph as of 11:00 am), but it still feels nice outside, high of 70°. Enjoy that!
One side note from NWS, however:
There are some gusty winds behind the front and this could cause a marginal fire danger. Will keep an eye on this.
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