WHAT
Tornado, damaging straight line winds, and large hail.
A low probability of a high impact event.
In the form of small, rotating supercells spread widely around the evening. So wide we might not even see rain.
Grab that ham sammy or lettuce salad and read this during lunch about severe storms maybe getting here later.
Couple of Rounds of Storms Possible Friday, Maybe Severe
Today we’re expecting seasonal temps and a sunny day. It’s a go for all St Patty’s Day celebrations.
Starting tomorrow, we have another rain/storm chance, potentially two rounds. The HRRR shows round one of storms coming through around 8 a.m, and clearing out by noon. This timing may change as we get closer.
Wet Today, Dry Tomorrow
We’re on the tail end of the low pressure responsible for the latest rain. Nothing left but a few light showers (mostly south of I-40). Everything should be out by this evening:
NWS has backed off of forecasted highs for today… courtesy of cloudy skies. Will get more sun tomorrow as we dry out. Thursday will be more agreeable with your spring break plans. Warm temps and no rain.
Rain Returns Tonight – Tomorrow Morning
Low pressure sweeps across the gulf causing our area some showers overnight tonight. HRRR model below has showers coming in right after midnight. These continue until about lunch time Wednesday. Perhaps some sprinkles do hang around Wednesday afternoon. No threats are expected to come with this system.
Warm This Week; Light Rain Chance Tuesday Evening
Forecast this week looks a lot different than the cold temps and snow we experienced over the weekend. Temperatures warm up to the mid 70s by Thursday. We stay warm for the rest of the week staying in the 60s.
Warmer Temps on the Way; Staying Dry Today
This morning the temps were really cold. Temps in the teens when accounting for wind chill. By the time you’re reading this the temps will have warmed into the mid 50’s. This along with minimal cloud cover will help melt any remaining snow.
Cold Temperatures in a Winter Wonderland
The temperatures reached the mid 60s yesterday, and here we are, literally the next day, with snow on the ground. Tennessee weather is weird.
Some of us woke up to 2-4 inches of snow on the ground, a few of us even 5-6 inches. (Accumulations are below). The low this morning was in the low 20s, burr. The high today will be in the lower 30’s, likely not getting above freezing. [Editor’s Note: The higher sun angle this time of year will really help melting, even with temps below freezing. But, watch out for black ice tonight as temps plummet and we lose the sun’s energy.]
Snow Tonight
Today, we’re going to start off with a pretty nice, warm day. This is going to quickly change. A cold front is going to quickly drop temps. See the roller coaster that is the hourly temperature chart:
Winter Weather Advisory for Friday Night
This afternoon I searched “March snow” in my Google Photos, and several snow pics from March came up from years past. While March snows are not unprecedented for us, it seems a little odd. But, here we are… Let’s lay it out.
Brief Warming Trend; Weekend Snow Possible
Rain has moved out… so what’s next? Highs warm up to the 60’s tomorrow and Friday. More sunshine the next couple days.
Late Friday night is when things start to get interesting. A strong cold front is expected to roll through… frigid temps along with it. Talking about a turnaround of almost 45 degrees from Friday afternoon to Saturday morning! Possible that we don’t get above freezing Saturday:
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