Nashville Severe Weather

Boring is good.

A ridge is an elongated area of high pressure. We’ll have one for a while. That means

• No rain for at least the next 7 days, maybe longer.
• Temps gradually warming each day, #StillSummer
• Reasonable, borderline comfortable humidity. Surface winds aren’t pumping that Gulf of Mexico humidity in here, keeping the swampy away.

We will still sweat.

When will the heat break?

Models disagree (shocking, I know).

Euro (below) thinks late next week (Friday the 23rd), the first full day of Fall! read more

/stands up, stacks papers/

Just one item y’all. We ride. Check this out 👇🏽.

Warmer each day, eventually to 90° because it’s still summer.

I will now take questions.

How Long Will We Ride This Lower Humidity? read more

Today-Tuesday is back-to-back glorious. Temps either side of 80°. Pleasant humidity.

We warm up Weds and should be to 90° by Friday.

Dewpoints should stay below 60° all week. Last week dewps were in the upper 60°s and low 70°. read more

The HRRR model isn’t exactly sure what will happen this afternoon but the latest HRRR model run wants football.

HRRR Model Noon – 3 PM, tailgating off/on rain with a few lightning strikes possible: read more

Ongoing showers looks to wane away at some point this afternoon, as shown by the HRRR model below.

HRRR model thinks it is possible that more showers develop this afternoon. Unsure if this will actually happen, but even if it does, they look very scattered in nature, and you may stay dry. Looks as if evening plans are good to go but having rain gear close by for the NSC game or other activities wouldn’t be a horrible idea. read more

Mother nature thought one day of nice weather was all we deserved, as dewpoints creep back up into the mid 60s.

Rain chances are a thing today, but the HRRR thinks most of us end up dry today. If the model is right, Friday night football looks good to go. read more

Today and the majority of Friday you’ll probably catch yourself saying…

Mid 80’s for high temperatures, with dewpoints in the mid 50’s will have you feeling great. By Friday dewpoints will creep back up into the mid 60’s as a developing upper low brings in moisture, raising rain chances. read more

Today and Thursday should be fairly nice days, as high temps only reach the mid 80’s and dewpoints gradually fall into the mid 50’s. Only a very small rain chance today, as only one or two of you may see rain. read more

Muggy day with dewpoints in the upper 60’s and high temps in the upper 80’s. With a soupy airmass in place, more Wattery showers/lightningstorms will be possible today, but it’s more than likely you stay dry, but maybe not. read more

/Most of us were supposed to see rain yesterday. A majority of the models thought the coverage of rain would be widespread. Instead, it was not, and only very few people saw any. NWS Nashville said there two very nerdy scientific reasons to why the coverage of rain was so scattered (“either the forcing didn’t materialize or the cloud cover stymied instability to the point of stunting any growth. Or both,” in case you were wondering.) This is why embracing uncertainty is always so important. Weather loves curveballs, very few times are you going to get a lob right down the middle. The shrug emoji really says it all. We have a good idea of what is going to happen, but we have zero way of knowing exactly what will. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯/ read more