A small low pressure system has settled itself seemingly just south of Davidson and Williamson Counties. We are getting the rain from the north side of it.
Rain should continue falling lightly until early tonight.
Good morning Nashville! An unsettled weather pattern looks to continue thru at least the afternoon hours on Friday. For today though, not expecting any rain until the late evening hours, after a high of 68º for the day.
This flood advisory has been issued for the Stones River in Davidson County. Water levels are expected to fall out of the Action Stage by this afternoon.
This week does not look like it will be drying out anytime soon. We still have a few chances of rain today as this low pressure system continues to spin (COUNTERCLOCKWISE!) over the southeast. The heaviest showers are finally moving eastward and out of Tennessee, so we’ll be left with spotty showers throughout the day.
Good morning Nashville! Low pressure is going to move across the state of Tennessee today. This morning, it was centered in the Memphis area and will move east as the day progresses. You can see it in the HRRR 3km simulated radar this morning; it is able to be depicted by the center of rotation of the showers today. All in all, looking at on and off rain for Williamson and Davidson Counties this morning. High of 68º expected today. A thunderstorm or two is not ruled out.
Through 3 PM, 1″ of rain has fallen at BNA.
Brief break from the rain as a dry slot in this system rotates through / Radar 3:13 PM pic.twitter.com/bs2SMj6sg9
— NashSevereWx (@NashSevereWx) April 22, 2018
Radar thru 6:32 AM shows rain inching closer to us.
You can update this radar on our radar/camera/tweets page here.
All models predict rain to work east and wash us out today.
The HRRR model thinks it’ll rain from mid-morning until 10 PM (and likely longer; this model only runs thru 10 PM):
Sunshine on a Saturday has us all excited!
This break in the clouds has been brought to you by a bubble of high pressure hanging over central Tennessee. It’ll hang on for one more day before being pushed east as rain moves in later on tonight.
Enjoy these warmer than average temperatures today, because they will be gone tomorrow! (But not by much)
We interview interns by Google Hangouts. Two years ago, we did one last one interview, thinking we were going to choose only Brendan. When it was over, me, Will, and Andrew immediately said: “Well, there is nothing to talk about, this is a no-brainer, Caroline is going to be very good at this.” We were right. Caroline will graduate from Mississippi State this spring, then transition to grad school. She’s been a leader at State. She has volunteered at NWS-Nashville during the summer (they love her), and has driven up here to help everyone out during Severe Weather Awareness Day. Most of all, she has excellent weather skills, she’s reliable, trustworthy, and smart. Our rule is that interns graduate from @NashSevereWx when they finish undergrad, if not before. With our full support, she’s going to help out @memphisweather1 while she continues her post-grad education. Caroline has served me, Will, and Andrew well. She’s been no stress for us, she needs no editing; it takes a lot for us to trust someone with @NashSevereWx and she earned that trust right away. She’s served our community well, behind the scenes, during challenging forecasts. We will miss working with you, Caroline. We look forward to what your future will bring. It’s not goodbye. It’s see ya later.
Today we say goodbye to one of our interns, Brendan Schaper. As you probably know, interns draft all blog content Monday through Saturday (Will, Andrew, and I have full time jobs and fuller time families). Our internts are meteorology students at Mississippi State University. They volunteer their time and work very hard to produce good information for you. Along the way they get better at communicating weather information; after all, writing is a muscle, it strengthens with use. Most of what you read from our interns is edited by me, Will, or Andrew, but I have not had to edit anything Brendan has done for more than a year. He is outstanding. He’s graduating this Spring and has a coveted job for the National Weather Service waiting for him. We are going to miss him. Thanks for the work, Brendan. We consider you a friend and look forward to seeing what you do down the road.
Finally! Morning temperatures in the mid to upper 50s!
The high this afternoon will be 76º. Winds 15-20 mph, gusting at times to 35 MPH before the front arrives.
We are expecting a cold front tonight, giving us a chance for a brief shower sometime between 6-10 PM. There will be plenty of dry air, so any rain we see will be light; rainouts will be unlikely. Many of us may not even see rain, but before drawing conclusions let’s wait until this afternoon and check the actual radar to see how much rain we may get, rather than rely only on model data. I would not alter any outdoor plans right now.
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