Summary

• “Middle Tennessee is currently stuck in a late summertime pattern that will continue into the beginning of fall.” (NWS-Nashville Afternoon Forecast Discussion).
• Temps this week will be five to almost ten degrees above normal.
• Hit-or-Miss pop-up rain chances begin Tuesday afternoon and last through the rest of the week.

Rain & Storm Chances

Monday — Rain chances remain very low. The better rain chances will be northwest of Nashville.

Rest of the Week — The morning shift at NWS-Nashville thought Wednesday afternoon would bring the best chance of rain. read more

Summary

• Temperatures above normal
• Summertime humidity returns
• Hit or Miss pop up rain chances this week, rain chances increase after Tuesday

Rain & Storm Chances

Today — Temps soaring to 88° this afternoon should lift our sweaty, drippy air mass, producing a few pop up showers or weak storms somewhere in Middle Tennessee. The rain will probably be northwest of us, but we can’t rule out a shower. Without low instability, this will probably be a non-event, which will end as temps fall tonight. read more

Mainly High and Dry For the Weekend

No *concerning* rain is in the forecast, thanks to a well-established ridge of high pressure over the middle U.S. Middle to upper 80s for afternoon highs will carry us through the weekend into early next week. read more

High Pressure, Yes Please!

Starting today we will finally transition back into a sunshine filled period. With this sunshine will also come a spike in our temps with highs expected to reach into the upper 80s. Our dew point temps will be in the mid-60s through the weekend. It could feel a bit sticky, but it won’t be too bad. read more

Cloud Cover and Showers Pushing East

GOES 16 Visible Loop

A few showers continue this morning, but the good news is that we expect sunshine to return this afternoon! Temperatures will react appropriately, nearing 80°F for a high today. The remnant low pressure system over the Ohio Valley will take clouds and rain with it to the northeastern U.S. this weekend. Below is an image of GOES 16 water vapor, where the reds/oranges are high water vapor content and the gray areas are dry air. read more

Scattered Showers Continue Tonight, Diminish into Tomorrow

Special shoutout to one of our readers, Sarah Szpak-Miller. Thank you to everyone who reads and loves our posts! We have eyes and ears everywhere.

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Our dreary day will continue into tonight with on and off showers. Luckily, showers from the remnants of Irma will clear out during the overnight hours into tomorrow morning. read more

Scattered Showers Continue, Dreary Through Wednesday Night

Latest HRRR Loop – Updated 6:30 PM CDT

…by the way, where are we today temperature-wise in comparison to seasonal averages? Almost 20 degrees below average!

Irma’s remnant center of low pressure is expected to kick northeastward tomorrow, but bring in another swath of moisture and likely rainfall. Again, not a complete washout but definitely another dreary day on tap. read more

Here Comes Irma

Irma is on the way and we will begin to feel the effects of Irma on our Middle Tennessee weather pattern. Irma, now a tropical storm, will continue to make its way north and westward through the remainder of today and into tomorrow. read more

Summary

• 1.5″ to 2″ Monday afternoon through Thursday afternoon is most likely; most of it falling Monday night into Tuesday morning. Flash flooding cannot be ruled out, but it is not expected.
• A Wind Advisory goes into effect Monday at 7 PM until Tuesday at 7 AM for winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 45 mph. Expect a few trees down, isolated power outages possible, and hazardous driving conditions.
• Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are not currently a concern.
• This does not look like a repeat of Harvey, but stay connected to reliable weather information as this storm approaches.

Irma’s Rain

Late Monday night, Irma’s center will pass to our south.  See the red “L” below.

Irma is a large storm.  Before Irma’s center crosses I-65 in Alabama, rain will approach from our southeast. read more

This morning, Irma is a Cat 4 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 130 MPH.

Sunrise revealed Irma’s eye striking Key West at 7:49 AM CDT:

Irma is a large storm. Although its center is in Key West, the moisture train extends to the North Carolina-Virginia border: read more