We have a blanket of clouds over us today. This is out ahead of our next chance at rain.
Clouds should keep our high in the mid 50°s. Rain should keep away for today.
This system will mainly keep to our south. Model guidance is shaky for how this moves north. The further north this system tracks, the more rain we are likely to see.
Today’s skies are forecasted to clear, with mild temps and more sunshine. I wouldn’t be surprised if we exceed our forecasted high of 51º if these clouds give way.
Overnight low is down to 36º as clouds move back in overnight and trap the heat like a fluffy comforter.
Saturday’s temps will be may a few degrees warmer, up to 54º. However, the could that moved in overnight will stick around. Call it mostly cloudy by afternoon. These clouds set the stage for our next chance of rain.
Sometime the best models we can use to predict rain have disagreements. Actually, it’s more than sometimes. It’s something we struggle with when doing blogs like this, and something the National Weather Service is dealing with this disagreement today.
Most of the current iterations are giving southern and southeastern Middle TN some showers by Sunday. The problem is, the GFS is dry, the Euro is kinda wet and the NAM is giving all of the mid-state a deluge.
Sunny but chilly Thursday with a high of 46°.
Tomorrow morning we drop to 28°. Stay warm out there!
A low pressure system could bring us rain this weekend, but maybe not. If it goes far enough south, we should stay dry; however, if it ends up further north, we could see a little rain.
This morning a good chunk of the continent is at or below freezing, except for some regions along the coastline.
The high in and around Nashville today will barely breach into the 40°s, around 43°F.
Very cold Thursday morning: 23°.
While we did see strong storms yesterday, mostly in S Middle Tennessee, we escaped the severe weather up in our neck of the woods. As we said yesterday, the severe threat was low and conditional, meaning it all depended on how far north the storm making ingredients got. They didn’t get very far north. So, we were left with heavy rain and lightning. If you’ve watched the news this morning, we can only be thankful that’s all we got. Thinking of those today who are having to pick up the pieces (physically and emotionally) today.
It was a noisy night N of I-40 last night as storms developed and dropped a lot of rain. Last night’s rain will enhance the flooding threat later today. HRRR shows storms pushing E and crossing both counties again this evening.
2019 is already the 8th wettest year on record (since 1871).
By tomorrow night we should claim the 5th spot.
Training rain is repeated areas of rain. Heavy rain is the train cars. Trains follow the tracks.
Not much going on today, but we will see some showers move in tonight before heavier rain follows on Monday.
Breezy with winds coming from the east/southeast at 5-10 MPH.
No rain expected for the Titans game at noon.
Light off and on showers today. HRRR model:
Not a washout, rain under 0.1″.
Fog between midnight and 6 AM in the “usual spots” near bodies of water and low lying areas. Low 37° with a dewpoint 35°, so freezing fog isn’t expected right now, but it’s close. Fog should mix out by sunrise.
We’re going to stay dry for the remainder of the morning, before showers from the Southwest move into Middle Tennessee. We’ll see scattered to numerous showers begin to move in between 2PM-4PM, and lasting through the evening. The best rain chances are for those mainly along and just East of I-65.
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