Yesterday’s Wilson/Smith Co. Tornado.
Just before 4:45 PM, the line that came through north Williamson County/south Davidson County tapped higher instability and slightly more favorable tornadomaking ingredients.
Today will be around 72º with plenty of mid-day sun.
Low pressure moves from west to east Saturday. Showers may start as early as midnight tonight, and will get wider in coverage through the morning. Strongest winds will be around mid-day and stick around through Sunday.
A surface low is passing by, strengthening winds. Expect 40 MPH wind gusts this morning, afternoon, and early evening, then relaxing later tonight.
Something is up.
That something is rain and storms breaking out just after lunch, then scattering and moving east through the afternoon, ending just before midnight. Like this:
A brief shower possible early tonight (Wednesday).
The real rain event begins around midnight. Here it is from midnight to 5 AM Thursday:
NWS-Nashville thinks more than a half inch of rain. Storms are possible with shear off the charts (again) but zero instability (again) so no tornado or hail concerns.
Plenty of sunshine. Northwest winds are gusty (gusting to 22 mph as of 11:00 am), but it still feels nice outside, high of 70°. Enjoy that!
One side note from NWS, however:
There are some gusty winds behind the front and this could cause a marginal fire danger. Will keep an eye on this.
The sun is back! A light northerly breeze won’t be able to keep temperatures from rising to near 70° today.
We get to continue enjoying near perfect weather! The sun stays around for Tuesday and Wednesday with highs reaching 69° both days. No definite danger of a frost or freeze early in the week, although lows in Nashville could reach 41° early Wednesday morning as a very weak front drops low temps a bit. If there’s any night to watch, that would be it, as outlying areas are always a bit cooler than in town.
We’ve had a beautiful day with plenty of sun so far today, but clouds will begin to push their way into Middle Tennessee, especially into the evening hours as a weak front approaches. Along with this front comes not only some rain, but also gusty winds for us into the afternoon.