Dry, cool, and windy today. Mostly sunny with those winds at 15 mph gusting 20.
Same story for Wednesday, sunny and cool, but winds will be calmer.
A front will drive in a about six hours of light, then moderate, then briefly heavy rain sometime Thursday, most likely Thursday night.
Will and I discussed what Blerg really means.
The dictionary definition of Blerg is (1) temps under 40°, (2) no sun, and (3) no snow. This dictionary lives on our timeline, no where else, sorry Miriam, not sorry Webster.
Models have been consistent. Snow incoming after midnight tonight. The HRRR model:
Falling snow, and accumulating snow, are two different things.
The current expectation is nothing to a half inch:
Snow falling is more likely than snow accumulating.
Rain stays to a minimum this afternoon for Nashville but we can expect some overcast skies into the overnight hours as well.
We top out in the upper 50s for today. Our chance to see some light snow will be closer to overnight tonight.
Radar from 9:40 CST shows precipitation sitting just off to our west.
Radar is constantly updating, so for the most recent run visit https://nashvillesevereweather.com/radar/.
Once again, dry air near the surface will gobble up precipitation before it reaches the ground. See the large dry air slot (space between the red and green lines on the sounding) between the surface and 700mb? Yeah, you can thank the Dry Air Monster for that.
Relative humidity will drop near/below 45% Saturday morning. That’s really dry for us. Fires may be uncontrollable because south winds will blow 10-15 MPH.
Smoldering smokesticks staying in your ride and not on the grassy median would be lovely thanks.
The U.S. West Coast is getting mudslides and epic snowfalls. It’s supercold in the northeast.
Here, not so much.
Models disagree about Saturday afternoon. Most think a rain wave will pass by but dry air will gobble it up the drops before they reach the ground.
It’s cold this morning.
A good reminder that we are in the core of the winter season.
Fortunately, we stay dry through Friday.
We should start Saturday on a dry note before this system moves in.
A surface low over Texas will move eastward throughout the day.
Precipitation is crossing over the Mississippi River as of 10:30am CST:
Radar imagery is constantly changing. For the most up to date data, visit https://nashvillesevereweather.com/radar/. The website will refresh every minute with the most current imagery. Also, stay tuned to @NashSevereWx on Twitter for updates (and some humor mixed in)!
Most of the daylight Wednesday will be dry.
Around dinnertime or a little before, precip should be moving in. No storms. Cold rain most likely, and maybe some snow.
Euro Model (below) shows *maybe* a light rain/snow mix.
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