Road conditions are still extremely hazardous across Middle Tennessee.
Enjoy the sun this morning but don’t expect anything to melt. High temperatures will be hard pressed to make it above freezing. Anything that falls today and tomorrow will sit on top of this stubborn layer of ice.
The 18z HRRR model run thinks snow will pass north of us Wednesday morning. By sundown Wednesday night, we begin several hours of snow ending around 1 AM Thursday morning. Then a pause until sunrise, when a sleet/snow event begins then transitions quickly back to snow and continues at least through noon Thursday. Then the model cuts off.
It is bitter cold out there with the highs only reaching 22 degrees today. Wind chills no more than 10. The only snow removal will be manual.
Models disagree where the snow – sleet – rain line will be. Early this morning NWS-Nashville summarized it like this:
First a personal note. I put on a guy on blast on Twitter this afternoon. I shouldn’t have. I got frustrated because I thought his criticism was unfair, and for a minute I thought I was in court. Those who disagree with me or don’t like the way we do things nevertheless deserve my respect. Dragging anyone’s tweet out in front of our audience out of anger and revenge in order to shame them to try and win an argument is not cool. What I did was, and is, wrong. Twitter feuds drive a wedge between us, no minds change, we all just end up angry. I apologized to him (to his credit, he was the bigger man and reached out to me first). The truth is my pride in what we built made me a jerk. I should always be kind. I’ve been given grace, and I did not return it. David.
A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for Davidson and Williamson Counties until 6 AM CST Tuesday morning.
Sleet and freezing rain will continue through the afternoon, with the snow line inching our way as well. Snow is currently in west TN as of noon.
Roads, steps, decks, and sidewalks coated with black ice this morning and this afternoon are dealing with a heavy coat of sleet tonight. Travel is dangerous. Do not try it. 4WD may provide traction, but it cannot assist your stop.
Travel is hazardous this morning. Our replies are filling up with “black ice” and “skating rink” stories. And that was just due to overnight freezing fog and freezing drizzle.
Happy Valentine’s Day everybody!
“This is an evolving forecast that will likely change over the next 24-36 hours.” –NWS-Nashville.
Saturday night – Sunday morning, there may still be lingering slick spots on bridges and overpasses. Drizzle on windshields means black ice on roads.
Until 10 AM this morning (Saturday) a Winter Weather Advisory warns of freezing fog, freezing drizzle, and a few patches of light freezing rain laying down “ice accumulations of a light glaze.”
Bridges, overpasses, and elevated surfaces may be slick.
There is a lot of elevation variation throughout Williamson and Davidson counties, so it’s hard to say if your street specifically will have black ice. The safe thing is to assume that your street has slick spots. Then maybe you will be pleasantly surprised.
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