It Didn’t Stick
Evaporative cooling lowered freezing temps enough by late this morning to change the rain/mix into big, wet flakes. Unless you were at elevation, it fell and melted. Temps have been well above freezing all day.
What Didn’t Stick Today May Freeze After Midnight
It’s Just Rain
It’s Just Rain
Rain is moving through this morning. Some radars are coloring it as snow; others as rain. We aren’t worried about it.
Overnight, temperatures never really approached freezing, staying mostly in the upper 30°s. Here’s what they were just before 6:30 AM:
Couple Rounds of Light Snow Possible
Current Radar
So is this a few flurries or should we be “flaking” out?
Don’t worry, the next 24 hours will not include the most snow we’ve ever had. But here’s what is being monitored:
Tonight Into Sunday Morning
UPDATED Latest High-Resolution Model Loop
Wait until the end of this loop to get a glance at the precipitation and its advancement. Also notice how there is a mixed bag of snow and rain.
Temperatures Sunday morning will hover around freezing until about 8-9 AM when they jump above 32º.
Impacts Sunday Morning:
Very few. Any light snow that falls will have a difficult time accumulating and no issues are expected on the roads. As mentioned, temps will quickly rise above freezing, aiding in the melting of any previous snowfall.
Sunday Night – Monday Morning
From NWS Nashville:
By Sunday evening, additional impulses (of energy) and cooling surface temperatures will bring a good chance for light snow showers. This is the time when most of the accumulation is expected. Sunday night lows will drop to the mid to upper 20s, so any travel problems that develop Sunday evening could linger into Monday morning work and school travel times.
Clouds Overnight, Sunny Skies Tomorrow
Current Radar
Quiet Conditions Over the Next 24 Hours
Tonight, lows will drop into the mid 20s; it will be chilly overnight into early tomorrow morning. Sunny skies return tomorrow with highs reaching the upper 40s.
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Sunday Snow? Will it be Cold Enough?
There appears to be two times Sunday we could see some snowfall, with each having its’ own characteristics.
Flurries Possible Fri. AM, Cold Chronicles Continue
Current Radar
No Hazardous Weather Anticipated
With all the talk about severe weather and heavy rain last week, Mother Nature is giving us a break for awhile. Speaking of last week’s rain, a new drought monitor has been released:
Latest US Drought Monitor has completely removed our 2 counties from drought after last week's rain. Seems like we should celebrate! ^al pic.twitter.com/oIilB9jSgU
Cooler Temps on the Way, Rest of the Week Looks Dry
Current Radar
Main Showers Moving Off, Slight Chance of a Rain Drop Through the Evening
And just like that the majority of our showers are drifting off to the east. HRRR wants to bring a little bit more rain in the early evening, but any more rain we may see should be very light and more of a nuisance than anything.
Warm Wed. W/ Showers, Cold Returns Thurs.
Current Radar
Rain Showers Tomorrow
Have outdoor plans tomorrow? You might want to reconsider, as a decent opportunity for rain will enter stage right during the midday hours. The latest GFS shows the rain’s evolution:
Some of this activity could linger into Thursday AM, but the thing that’ll be most noticeable will be temperatures. A cold front that’s initiating these rain chances tomorrow will drop our temps back into the 20s and 30s overnight and the 40s for daytime highs.
Seasonal Temps Beginning to Return, Fairly Dry Week Ahead
Current Radar
Quick Look at the Week Ahead
Notice anything in particular about the graphic above? We currently have only a slim chance of showers on Wednesday; other than that NO precipitation is in the forecast. Our prolonged dreary days FINALLY appear to be coming to an end.
Showers To End the Weekend, Cooler (More Average) Week Ahead
Current Radar
Writer’s note: A complex forecast for much of the southern U.S. is playing out today, and in terms of us here, it should be much more subdued than areas to the southeast. If you have friends or family who are visiting/live in southern Georgia or northern Florida, today is a day, more important than any, to be weather vigilant. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a HIGH RISK (5 out of 5) for severe weather of all types and hasn’t done so since 2014.
Chance For More Rain/A Few Storms Overnight
Current Radar
Rain Should Make It Here Overnight, But Will Be Disintegrating
Update: more showers and storms are developing to our southwest once again. There is uncertainty regarding the arrival of rain tonight, but we think prime time is somewhere between 2 AM and 6 AM. These storms could produce heavy downpours but widespread severe weather will stay well to our south. Here’s the latest HRRR model (which has done a nice job recently) on predicting tonight’s rain/storm arrival:
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