Rain Tonight
Rain is coming in from the west.
Expect it to start as off and on, light showers tonight.
After midnight, it should turn steady, and a little heavy. The HRRR model’s simulated future radar illustrates:
Rain Tonight/Overnight; Quiet Week; More Rain Likely Saturday
Rain Tonight, Rain Next Weekend, Not Much In Between
For Today…
Not So Cold
Overnight, the winds turned. They’re now blowing in warmer air from the south. We should make it up to 53°.
Windy
Sustained winds 16 MPH this afternoon will gust to 28 MPH. It’s very important for the Titans win the coin toss.
Up and Down Week, Active Pattern Ensues
Current Radar
Rain Returns, A Few Flurries During the Week?
We expect Sunday to be dry until late in the night and early Monday morning…great news for Titans fans, as it will be warmer with temps in the 50s, also! But hold onto your hats — winds will gust as high as 25 mph.
Plain Cold, Rain Sunday/Monday, Active Next Week
Current Radar
High Temperatures Only Slightly Above Freezing
The next 48 hours will include much of the same, bitter cold that has invaded the central and eastern U.S.
“Warming Up”
Warm air begins to advect (propagate) into southern and middle Tennessee during the day on Sunday. The center of high pressure that was entrenched over-top of us keeping our temperatures down will slide east towards the Appalachians, and relatively warmer air will arrive to replace the chill.
Frigid Temps Through Saturday, More Rain Possible to Start Next Week
Current Radar
The Cold Air is Here
The day has finally come that we have been talking about for quite some time now, our first dose of winter-like weather.
Keep in mind over the next couple of days, we will see some calm winds of about 5-10 mph. While this doesn’t seem like much, this wind will add in wind chill. Expect for it to feel even colder than those high temperatures (the wind chill isn’t forecast to go above 32° tomorrow and this is what it is going to feel like).
Winter-Like Temps By Tonight, More Fronts Next Week?
Current Radar
Colder Temps on the Way
Afternoon continues to be pleasant with temps reaching the mid 40s.
A cold front is set to pass through tonight and behind it, very very cold temperatures (more on the meh rain/snow chances later). To end the work week, we will finally be seeing those winter-like temperatures. We could even drop into the teens for the first time this year on Friday night.
Frigid Temps Spill In, Small Rain Chances
Current Radar
Cold Front Means Business
A dividing line between relatively warmer air and very cold polar air is expected to reach middle Tennessee later this evening. Behind this cold front, temperatures will fall below freezing overnight.
GFS 850mb Temperatures Loop
Over the course of the next few days, some of the coldest air of the season will take control, per NWS Nashville:
Friday and Saturday mornings we are looking at the coldest temperatures thus far this meteorological winter.
Have a look at this temperature fall-out from Thursday through the first half of the weekend:
Needless to say, your winter wardrobe will be out in full force later this week.
Rain? Snow? Maybe Yes, Probably No.
There’s no reason to be very excited about this, but the first flakes of the winter are always of interest.
Another wave of energy will eject out of the mid south late Wednesday into Thursday morning, bringing enough moisture to send a few showers our way. This event will be a “sleeper”, or one that occurs overnight, into early Thursday. At times a few snowflakes could mix in with the rain, but as expected, no accumulation is even remotely possible.
NWS Nashville:
...we could see a chance for light rain here in Middle Tennessee after midnight possibly mixing with a flake or two of snow over northern areas of the Mid State along the higher elevations...
Week Ahead Looks to Have Wet & Dry Periods, Much Colder By Friday
Current Radar
Rain Moving in Tonight, Staying Through Tomorrow Morning
Rain has stayed clear of us so far today, but into tonight, we will begin to see those showers pushing into our area.
We could begin to see spotty showers by this afternoon, but we think the majority will hold off until the early evening hours.
Monday Night Rain; Thursday Mix/Rain (Snow? Meh); Very Cold Friday
A few light showers possible tonight
HRRR model illustrates a little light rain it thinks will come in later tonight:
That’s not much. We agree.
Fog Overnight
Light winds and plenty of moisture will cause fog to form in spots, in all the usual places.
It’s That Time of Year: Blergs, Snow Uncertainty, & Cold
Almost a Blerg Today
“Blerg” means it’s under 40° and raining, not snowing. This is not an official weather definition. We made it up.
Today is “almost” a blerg because the rain is mostly south and east of us, where it is expected to remain most of the day. Don’t be surprised if you get a shower/sprinkle or two, but don’t expect any real rain during the day.
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