Storms Monday Afternoon–Some May Pack a Punch
It’s going to rain this afternoon. The HRRR is showing scattered showers becoming more widespread tonight.
Timing: The HRRR likes the most significant rain coming in two rounds: the first around 2pm and the second around 11pm. In between, there will be some scattered showers.
Rain with a few weak thunderstorms should as through lunch hour, lingering into the early afternoon.
HRRR model thinks rain and storms will hang around until sundown . . .
. . . but the HRRR model is probably overdoing it. Here’s why we think that.
Satellite this morning showed clear skies. That’ll continue today (well, mostly):
Up to 93º this afternoon with summer-normal humidity.
Moisture will creep in this afternoon and pop off a few clouds, maybe even give us a shower or two, but the chances of this happening to you are pretty low.
Stormy activity heads our way into this afternoon. Spotty showers and thunderstorms with highs today in the upper 80s.
Between 1pm – 2pm is when we’ll see these storms start to fire up. We’ll be keeping a close eye on the radar this afternoon. Check @nashseverewx on twitter for the latest.
Thursday
The sun is shining this morning, though there may be some clouds in the way… The more significant cloud cover and rain chances are located to our east/northeast.
The high temperature today will be around 85º. The dewpoint will hover in the lower 60’s today.
Today will feature similar temps to yesterday, maybe a touch warmer from low to mid 80s. Dew points will be a bit higher with upper 50s likely:
Showers (if they even make it this far west) will be very few and far between. The HRRR Model (below) shows a few brief specks moving through the Mid-State:
Today should be another day of sunny skies. Because of the low to our east, our humidity levels should stay relatively low. Dew points will stay in the 50s throughout the day. Highs will be near 83°.
The highest chance of some showers is to our east. We should stay dry, but we can’t rule out a stray one rolling into our neck of the woods.
Although the official start of summer is not until June 20th, let me just give you a preview as to what’s to come this week.
[Editor’s Note: The print is small, but be in awe of the number of visible blue skies and moons.]
Mid 80s this afternoon, the comfortable humidity continues.
A few passing afternoon showers or storms may try to swing in from the north. The HRRR Model (below) shows this scattered activity.
This activity will be short-lived so no severe weather or flooding concerns
First…
Almost 90 this afternoon, with comfortable humidity.
A few showers or storms may pop up in NW Middle Tennessee, but those should stay away from us. Here’s the NAM3 model showing that activity N and NW of us:
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