Who else can remember a rain-free Independence Day that wasn’t either blazing hot or miserably humid (or both)? I know I can’t. But that’s exactly what we’re going to see today. Don’t get me wrong, it’s still going to be pretty warm, but much more comfortable than we’ve been used to lately. Dewpoints are forecasted to rise to the mid 60s tonight, around the time that a lot of you will be watching fireworks. So a little sweaty, but temps will cool off enough to keep you comfortable.
We got down to 61° at 4:53 AM, which was 4° warmer than the July 3 record low. Perfect temp/humidity combo today. Temps and dew points will rise a bit Sunday, but still way below average. Heat cranks again Monday, heat index upper 90°s. No rain possible until at least Tuesday or Wednesday, but more likely Thursday and Friday.
The cold front that brought all of that rain passed through TN this morning. This leaves us dry with temperatures reaching highs in the mid 80’s for the start of your weekend. Dew points are down to the low 60’s and even hit the mid 50’s for Saturday. For the 4th, highs reach back up to the low 90’s but dew points still hover around 60 degrees! Check out this handy dandy chart to reference the dew points.
We have good news and bad news. The good news is, a cold front is coming through, so there will be lower temps and sunny skies. The bad news is we have to get through some rain before those cooler temps and sunshine arrive.
Scattered thunderstorms are in the works this afternoon… it’s become almost routine at this point. Credit goes to the daily 90+ degree temps that have been firing up showers/thunderstorms. They’re not going away just yet and neither is the humidity… for now.
I don’t know if you’ve heard already, but a tropical storm made landfall in South Carolina last night. What does this mean for us? Not much in the grand scheme of things. No tropical storm force winds or anything of that nature. It already fell apart over Georgia earlier this morning, but remnants headed toward us could very well be packing some “lift” that we lacked yesterday. Satellite imagery shows this convection building up to the south tracking northwest.
Expect a few pop up showers and lightning storms starting this afternoon. Some storms stay into the night but most fade away with the heat of the day.
Tomorrow looks the same with the afternoon pop ups. HRRR below has the same timeline with storms coming in early to mid afternoon and dissipating after midnight.
Dewpoints approaching 70° this week. A cold front (ETA Saturday-ish) will rescue us. Until then, sorry hair.
Isolated afternoon showers may be somewhere in Middle Tennessee today. It’s unlikely one will isolate on you.
Rain is holding back to the west of us and is expected to stay there today. This should keep us dry. HRRR model:
Those out at local events today will notice temps warmer than yesterday as well as a bit more humidity, but nothing overly oppressive. Great weather for the Steeplechase event today as well as the Blackberry Jam Music Festival in Franklin.
Rain chances continue to dwindle for the rest of today and tomorrow–models are tending drier with each run. All the atmospheric features that were expected to bring rain are moving farther to the north and west of us. More cloud coverage today but not much else.
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