Nashville Severe Weather

Despite the scattered cloud cover today, we should see at least some melting with a couple hours of above freezing temperatures. Unfortunately, today might be the last day we see above freezing temps until Monday. read more

We finally got above freezing as we made it to 33° at BNA at the 3p observation. This, paired with sun has helped the melting process some. Additional melting will happen on Thursday, as most of us get into the upper 30s. read more

There’s an outside shot at some freezing fog for us early Wednesday morning, which could create a thin layer of ice on surfaces. Please be extra cautious on your AM commute, especially on bridges and overpasses. read more

Our ongoing Cold Weather Advisory will switch to an Extreme Cold Warning today starting at 6p, running thru noon on Tuesday. Our low temperatures tonight will get close to 0°, with wind chill values as low as -11°. read more

Wind gusts up to 25mph thru the overnight hours will continue to put more stress on trees and power lines, with potential for more to come down. Please remain vigilant around any lines or trees. Always treat a downed power line if it were live. read more

• Sleet will transition to freezing rain over the next several hours
• Road conditions are rapidly deteriorating, travel is highly discouraged
• Ice accumulations of 0.5 – 0.75″ will cause potential power outages/tree damage
• Dangerous cold to follow, temperatures will struggle to make it above freezing for days, wind chill near -10° early next week

Our focus is quickly turning from our snowy start to the potential for damaging ice accumulation. Hope for the best, plan for the worst.

NWS Nashville has our expected ice accumulation at 0.5 – 0.75″. Those amounts would spell trouble for trees and electrical infrastructure. Travel would be very dangerous. read more

• Winter Storm Warning will be in effect Friday night thru Sunday evening
• Increasing concern for damaging ice totals, 0.5 – 0.75″ possible, which could lead to power outages and tree damage
• Travel will become treacherous beginning Saturday morning, with prolonged impacts thru early next week
• Below freezing temperatures will last for days, wind chill values Monday and Tuesday morning near -5°

Our confidence remains high in an impactful winter storm this weekend that will bring prolonged impacts with a combination of snow, sleet and freezing rain. Details are becoming more clear, although there is still some uncertainty in the forecast. We’ll talk most likely scenario, then some caveats in the forecast that could change things. Preparation will be important for this event – hope for the best, plan for the worst. Stay connected for the latest updates! read more

• A Winter Storm Warning will be in effect midnight Friday night thru 6p Sunday night
• Travel will become hazardous starting late Friday night into early Saturday morning, worsening throughout the weekend
• Power outages and tree damage cannot be ruled out if some higher freezing rain totals occur
• Brutal cold to follow our winter storm, with lows near 0° early next week

It’s become increasingly likely that we see a mix of all frozen precipitation: snow, sleet, and freezing rain. Models have been fairly consistent on thinking that we will deal with more freezing rain/sleet than snow, although we’ll probably see some of it all. read more

At least twice on the briefing from the brilliant minds at NWS Nashville, I heard something along the lines of “this is a very difficult forecast.” I think that should speak for itself – prepare yourself to embrace uncertainty. You will not come away from this blog knowing exactly what is going to happen, but you will be more prepared. read more

What We Know:

• Confidence is increasing that we see impactful winter weather this weekend
• Models have been quite consistent on thinking that we could see impressive snow totals
• Travel will likely be impacted across the region this weekend

What We Don’t Know:

• How much it will snow in your backyard
• What time it begins in your backyard
• If school will get canceled

This is all the latest information – and can (and will) change. Predicting winter weather around here is hard, especially still ~100 hours out. There is still a good amount of uncertainty with this. Stay connected for the latest info! read more