A “watch” means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms.
Note the probabilities of various hazards for the entire watch area:
Nashville is not included in this watch. Williamson County is included. It appears the boundary where storms are setting up is going to cut through Williamson Co., which is why they drew the area where they did.
The Storm Prediction Center has placed us within a Marginal risk for Thursday. They think there is a 5% chance of severe storms occurring within 25 miles of you.
Threats are strong winds and heavy rainfall if a storm pops up over you.
*Outdoor plans at First Tennessee Park, Ascend or somewhere else? Keep your radar handy and check in frequently. Could have some storms around. See below.
It’s going to be hot and steamy today. The high will reach into the low 90s with the dewpoints staying in the low 70s.
We dodged storms last night. They stayed mostly in Kentucky, although there were severe thunderstorm warnings in the counties to our north and northeast. One of them had supercell structure, like a spaceship:
Dewpoints will be in the low 70s all week.
On cloudy days, expect highs in the low 90s. Sunnier days, expect mid 90s.
We have some storms moving into middle Tennessee. These will hang around late tonight into early Sunday morning.
Both our HRRR and NAM 3-km models are in disagreement – lending to uncertainty for tomorrow.
After some strong, damaging storms to our south today, HRRR suggests we are done with the rain for tonight. More storms expected tomorrow.
The typical summertime status quo remains intact for this weekend. Storms look like they could be severe again on Sunday as the atmosphere recharges following possible rain/storms Saturday night. Highs will be in the upper 80s with the muggy-meter in the uncomfortable range.
We’re expecting a high of 84° today. You can thank the clouds and rain-cooled air for that. Dewpoints will remain in the upper 60s and low 70s from tropical moisture funneled into Middle Tennessee. Cooler temps, but uncomfortable humidity.
Who is ready for some rain?! It’s coming. Tropical moisture is arriving.
The HRRR model below shows off and on showers this afternoon, then a lot of light arriving arriving after midnight.
We are expecting the high temperature to be right around 90º today with dew point temperatures in the upper 60s (uncomfortable range).
We’ve got sunny skies across Williamson and Davidson Counties to start off our morning. Lack of clouds will let temps soar pretty quickly. Our high today could reach 93, and with dewpoints in the upper 60s, you can expect that real-feel to be a few degrees warmer.
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