Read this entire post to be well informed. If you don’t want to read the whole thing, probably better off not reading it at all.
It starts as off and on rain Tuesday morning.
HRRR model, 0z run.
Rain, sleet, and snow mix in Tuesday morning.
Snooooowwww! Splat . . . Melt? A Deep Dive.
Plan for Minor Travel Impacts Tuesday & Tuesday Night as Rain Transitions to Snow
It’s not a “minor” travel impact to you if you slide into an overpass wall, so be smart out there. Fortunately we have a traffic problem and no one goes more than 25 MPH anymore.
But first:
Rain Transitioning to Snow Tuesday, Accumulation/Impacts Possible, Forecast Confidence Low.
Why Another Blog Today?
New model data arrived. NWS-Nashville made maps you need to see for Tuesday. Forecast is evolving. Snow forecast is trending upwards but forecast confidence remains low.
All quotes from NWS-Nashville.
Rain, then a Splat/Melt Wintry Mix Tuesday?
Sunday
Meh.
High temperature: 60°.
Skies: starting great, getting cloudy later.
Winds: 5-15 MPH with gusts as high as 20 MPH.
Showers possible very late Sunday night, light and brief, probably while most sleep, maybe lingering into the AM rush hour. So thinks the NAM3 model:
Dry and Cool Weekend, Rain Chances for Sunday Night through Tuesday
Today Brings a Dry Start to the Weekend
We will hit a high near 56°F today, with some clouds hanging around.
Saturday is leading us with an excellent start to the weekend. If you have any outdoor activities or need to decorate for Christmas, today is the best of the best.
Rain Tapers Off Later This Afternoon, Dry Through Sunday, Cold Front Brings More Rain Monday And Tuesday
Rain To Move Out By Late Afternoon
We’ve dealt with scattered showers throughout the morning, but those will quickly be on their way out. The latest HRRR model has these showers fizzling out for much of us no later than 5PM-6PM:
HOW MUCH RAIN?
Chance of Rain Friday; Second Round of Rain Returns Mon/Tues; Knocking Down Snow Forecast for Next Week
Today:
Showers Overnight Thursday, Rain Friday
It may start as soon as late tonight: a few scattered showers.
The majority of the rain will move through Friday.
TIMING
The NAM3 model shows the heaviest rain passing through in the afternoon, and fizzling out Friday night.
Sunny Skies, Then Two Chances For Rain
Beautiful Weather Until Friday
We have some fall weather on tap until the next disturbance moves NE into our area Thursday late. Temps in the mid 50s both today and tomorrow. Really great days for outdoor activities. But it doesn’t last…
Sun Returns, Next Rain Chance Thursday Night
Today
After the soaking we’ve had over the past few days, we have a chance to dry out beginning today. Plenty of sunshine and a high temp of 47°. Not very warm, but the sun will help. Temps continue to climb over the next few days.
Cooler Today And Tomorrow, Dry Through Thursday, Potential Rain On Friday
Snow For The Cumberland Plateau
Our friends off to our East are seeing some snow accumulation this morning. Some areas will get a measly dusting while others in the Plateau could get up to 2″.
For us though, we’re not going to see any of that. We’ll have to wait a little longer.
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