Warm week ahead. Cloudy tho.
Check out these high temps:
That’s 15° to 25° above normal.
A few no-rainout showers Monday. ETAs a bit of a mess.
HRRR model scatters rain thru the day:
NAM3 model thinks late morning/lunchtime will be wet:
First week of February so let’s talk rain, humidity, and even thunderstorms.
We get spring-time rain and storms in February. Leaf through weather history books, we’ve had tornado outbreaks in February. February is also our snowiest month, or at least it is when the Dry Air Monster is away drinking on a beach cabana or something.
A few degrees warmer today than yesterday, it’s going to be a downright pleasant afternoon! Our afternoon temps will easily push into the mid 60°’s thanks to a calm south wind. If you’ve been waiting on a day to get out and about, this is it!
Aside from the few isolated showers, we had this morning, today is shaping up to be a great first day of February in middle Tennessee! Our afternoon high temperature is expected to be 53º, which is close to average for the first day of February.
We’re still pretty chilly this morning, but by this afternoon we’ll warm up considerably. Our afternoon high temp will be around 40° here in Nashville – a far cry from the extended sub-freezing temps we’ve been dealing with!
Another Editor’s Note Rant: Unexpected Snow?
Heard alot about “unexpected snow” today. Kinda. “Unexpected” is a fair word.
But, you should not have been unprepared, or shocked, it happened. This morning’s snow was in the range of possibility.
Editor’s Note Rant: Thank you for reading the blog.
I do not understand weather providers which speak in terms of accuracy, as if trying the hardest, or being the smartest, or looking at this data vs that data can make a forecast more or less “accurate.” We’re all working very hard at this. Everyone is smart. We are all looking at the same data. Everyone wants to get it “right.”
Windy today. High 62°.
Yesterday afternoon, a Winter Weather Advisory was issued for tonight/early Tuesday morning. Winter Weather Advisories require snowfall of at least 1″.
Last night, most models trended toward less snow. NAM3, HRRR, even the GFS joined the “less snow” trend advertised by the Euro model all weekend.
It’ll be almost 60° Monday afternoon. Windy.
Monday night, warm southwest winds will turn west, then northwest, blowing in arctic air.
And with that, precip. More about this below.
Monday night after midnight, temps will nosedive below freezing, falling to 22° around sunrise. Anything wet will freeze in the early hours of Tuesday morning.
Pretty great today (high 49°) and Monday (high 58°!).
Rest of the week, not so much.
Tuesday’s snow potential + exceptionally cold temps prompted NWS-Nashville to issue this Special Weather Statement for all of Middle Tennessee:
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