The HRRR model shows showers and storms beginning to pop up around 3 pm. Some people may get some rain while others don’t see a drop.
Stronger storms should remain to our south, but we can’t rule out one rolling into your neighborhood. The main threats with strong storms are gusty winds, lightning, and heavy rainfall. But that’s pretty unlikely.
Hit-Or-Miss Showers Prevail Today
Low level clouds are lingering this morning. These clouds should dissipate as the sun heats up the surface air.
We are currently sandwiched between two upper level ridges, placing us right below an upper level trough. The trough will create some convection this afternoon and keep a chance for rain showers in the forecast. The HRRR keeps most of our area dry, except for a few pop-ups this evening:
A Fairview thunderstorm is heading for Spring Hill as I write this. It’s being covered on Twitter @NashSevereWx.
Rain and a few more thunderstorms are possible today. It’s very humid, there’s plenty of instability, and a cold front is approaching to provide lift, kicking off your chances for a few storms this afternoon.
Scattered Afternoon Rain, and OMG It’s Humid Today
An enjoyable morning will set the stage for thunderstorm activity to pick up throughout the day.
The HRRR shows scattered showers mostly missing Williamson/Davidson this afternoon, but I’m not taking the model’s word for it. With the moisture in the air + afternoon heating, I expect more showers to pop up. Some may be in your backyard, some may not.
