Chilly Start to April
The temperatures this morning are no April Fool’s joke!
High temperatures will have to stretch to hit 50º by this afternoon. The climatological high for this time of year is around 65º, so we’re far below normal.
Even though the rain has departed, flooding still remains a concern, especially if you live near the Harpeth River in Bellevue. If you come across a road with water over it, please do not attempt to cross is. It’s difficult to judge how deep the water is and it doesn’t take much to cause big problems.
Rain will enter Middle Tennessee late Tuesday night.
The HRRR model thinks the first drops will fall around 7 PM Tuesday night. Then a break in the rain. Then the heaviest rain arrives Wednesday, probably after midnight Tuesday night through sunrise Wednesday morning. The HRRR model (right now, at least, see below) thinks that heaviest rain goes just southeast of Davidson and Williamson Counties:
24 hour rain fall totals from various observers in Nashville:
Williamson County:
The rainfall was historic:
Editor’s Note: We lost 4 people in this flood, at least that’s how many we know about as of noon Sunday. Each immeasurably valuable. The Mayor held a noon press conference and promised thorough investigation to understand the circumstances of each person having lost their life due to flash flooding. Investigations improve future messaging. But right now I do not want to reduce the lives of each of these four people into a lesson we expect to be taught later. Nothing is more important than a life. When we lose one it seems to me the community should mourn the person and surround his and her loved ones with love, kindness, and support, regardless of circumstances. Same is true for those who woke up with water in their home, businesses, and cars. Donate, give, love.
Storms this morning packed a punch with gusty winds, heavy rainfall, and hail.
Current radar shows sub-severe rain over the area. Unfortunately, this will only exacerbate the flooding concerns.
HRRR Model below shows off and on showers this afternoon before perhaps a more substantial line of storms rolls through overnight.
Check out today’s sunrise over the hills surrounding Grassland in Williamson county.
After last night’s severe weather, we dry out for most of today followed by decreasing clouds throughout the morning. We’ll be topping out near the upper 60s for our high temperature and the lower 50s for our low overnight tonight.