A few flurries are possible Tuesday morning. You can see them at the end of the 12z HRRR model run.
I’ll tweet the 18z run when it comes out in a few hours. Think these will be inconsequential if they happen at all — the precip isn’t on other models. Surface temps should be at least 3° (probably more) above freezing. Splat:Melt. No party, no worries.
This cold weather may have you feeling like Josh Norman.
And these temps aren’t going anywhere, anytime soon.
However, besides the cold temps, today is a great day for some Titans football.
No rain or frozen precipitation today. Besides for maybe a few cirrus clouds streaming in, the sun will be out today which should help to make it not feel so cold.
It is definitely going to feel like winter out there today. Grab your hats, scarves, fuzzy socks, and gloves cause it is capital C Cold today. Temps will be in the 20s and 30s. This combines with the wind coming from the north, giving us some wind chill values in the teens. Here’s what that looks like on the HRRR. Blue is very cold, purple is very very cold.
All the wintry stuff is well east of us by the time you are reading this. Now we are just left with the cold.
It is COLD out. The high temp today is expected to get up to freezing. If you take wind chill into account it’ll feel like it’s in the teens. The extremely blue and purple image below better illustrates this.
A line of rain has arrived. No severe weather/flooding concerns. Can’t rule out an isolated thunderstorm here or there, but most will see just showers.
Showers transition into a wintry mix late tonight as temps dip to at/below freezing. Models are in pretty good agreement as far as precip type/accumulation goes. Not much more than a dusting expected for our area (less than a half inch).
Freezing fog has already formed early this morning. A dense freezing fog advisory is in effect until 9am this morning. Some extra time for your morning commute may be needed. Patchy black ice is still a road hazard to look out for this morning. Overpasses, areas of elevation and neighborhood/back roads can have hazards stay around longer due to slower melting. Temps get up to the high 40’s today so significant melting is on the way as we go throughout the day.
Temps get up to the mid 30’s today. Melting will be slow. Expect a refreeze tonight as temps dive into the low 20’s. This may continue dangerous road conditions into the morning commute tomorrow, especially in elevated areas and on secondary/neighborhood roads. Highs tomorrow in the upper 40’s will bring significant melting.
Snow should, this afternoon, fall atop the rainy, slushy, mixyfrizzy precip we got this morning. Will Co got way more of the frozen stuff than Nashville. Will Co was colder at the surface and aloft, and Will Co got the heaviest precip bands.
Rain should change to snow Sunday right around sunrise, or a few+ hours after sunrise, and when it does surface temps are probably going to be at or above freezing. HRRR thinks the temp’ll be around 34° to 35° as the snow is falling.
The Winter Storm Watch begins for all of Middle Tennessee tonight at 6 PM and ends Sunday at 6 PM.
Looks like rain today will pause for a few hours then resume tonight. Overnight into early Sunday morning it should changeover to a wintry mix, then snow. The snow will be a wet, heavy snow. Somewhere in Middle Tennessee it could lay down snowfall rates around 1″ to 2” an hour.
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