On/off showers will be possible thru this evening. Some of us will stay dry, but some may see a brief shower. Impossible to know who is in and who is out. HRRR model below gives its best guess.
No strong or severe weather concerns with any of this activity.
A few showers moving thru this mid-morning. these are no worries.
Our severe chances have increased just a tad since yesterday.
Within 25 miles of you, there is a 15% chance of damaging straight-line winds, 15% chance of large hail, and a 2% chance of a tornado. (another way to look at it is there is a 98% chance that there will not be a tornado within 25 miles of you!)
A few lights showers will stick around for the rest of the night, no big deal. Most of the night should be dry.
Tuesday, more specifically during the afternoon and evening, we’ll deal with a very low, but nonzero chance of severe weather.
Happy Mother’s Day!
Very nice weather will stick with us today for whatever plans you might have.
Mild temperatures will stay with us throughout the week, but nice weather will not.
Rain chances will creep in Monday morning, with some additional chances during the afternoon/evening. Rainouts possible, but most of the activity should be fairly light.
Still cannot get over last night. Although not the best show with the naked eye, the views thanks to cameras were absolutely spectacular. Seeing them has always been on my bucket list, but I for sure thought it would require some travel. Just amazing to be able to see them right here at home.
A very nice Friday unfolding. I got the privilege to caddy a good friend of mine in a disc golf tournament this morning, got to enjoy the nice weather and some discs.
Our dry and mild weather will continue throughout the weekend. All outdoor activities look great. Steeplechase, any Mother’s Day plans, all look splendid.
Thankfully, our severe weather threat is all over, but we are still dealing with some flooding issues. Smaller creeks and streams will slowly recede, but larger rivers such as the Cumberland will take a little bit to crest. If you come across a flooded roadway, turn around, don’t drown!
Good morning. Multiple rounds of severe weather are possible today and tonight with all modes possible. Flash flooding, tornadoes, damaging straight line wind and large hail.
Timing: This is especially difficult to communicate. Some may see multiple severe storms today. Some may see only one or just one nearby. It depends on many factors, many of which aren’t being handled well in the models today. This is not a one and done event and will likely last about 24 hours.
1–Severe weather requires four things. Today we had moisture ✅, instability ✅, shear ✅, but no trigger/lifting mechanism ❌.
We dodged the daytime threat. Had we had lift, very bad things would have happened somewhere in Middle TN.
Tuesday aka today
1–This Afternoon.
A few lightningstorms will be around Middle TN. Not sure exactly where and when. There should not be many of them. Not everyone will get stormed. Those storms that get going will have plenty of fuel to tap. Those could be bad storms.
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