All storms now lightning capable. Getting cloud to ground strikes now near Bells Bend. 1137 AM

All storms now lightning capable. Getting cloud to ground strikes now near Bells Bend. 1137 AM

At 1033 AM pop up downpours freckle local radar. No lightning detected so far.

In this edition: weekend rainout potential, off/on storms this week, severe weather potential late Weds – early Thu.
Pop up storms possible today but without a spark to set them off we think most of us will be rain/storm free Saturday. Dewpoint 66° as I publish which is, yeah, summer’s coming.
PSA: First-Saturday-of-the-month tornado siren tests are today. Noon in Davidson. 1:00 pm in Williamson.
Isolated non-severe thunderstorms are possible throughout the evening. Most of us should stay dry, but a few unlucky folks may get caught in the rain.

The HRRR model gives its’ best guess at what we could be dealing with tonight, but models have a tough time handling these situations very well.
Downpours (feat lightning potential) off and on today in various random parts of Nashville and Will Co this afternoon and tonight. That’s the HRRR story, anyway. May the odds be ever in your favor.
Outdoor festivities 🤝 rainiest time of year. Worse, models struggle with timing and placement of these storms. Severe unlikely. Downpours, lightning the hazards. But most of us should be clear most of the time.
Below forecast grid: it may rain or storm at any time during the next week. No organized severe weather expected atm. Lightning a risk. No specific ETAs. Pattern scattered. Statistically approaching rainiest time of year. Not ideal for graduations, concerts.
Still no lightning with it. Moving slowly toward downtown.
Updated radar below. 743 PM.

Non-severe shower + storms will move into our area tonight and stick around throughout the day Friday.

HRRR model (above) shows a break for most of us by around lunchtime Friday. However…

More showers + non-severe storms are expected to develop Friday afternoon and evening. This particular run of the HRRR model shows a majority of the activity dodging us. Now this would be super cool if it does, but I’m pretty sus on that. If going to one of the many, many available outdoor activities tomorrow, not a bad idea to have rain gear + a back-up indoor plan in case a shower/storm decides to make its way to you. If you are downtown tomorrow, you may end up having to dodge some storms and chairs.
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