Both our counties will be under a Heat Advisory from noon to 7pm on Tuesday.
Heat index values up to 109° will be possible.
Take precautions if outdoors – take frequent breaks, drink plenty of water, wear light clothing…
Heat Advisory Tuesday, Low-End Chance for Damaging Straight-Line Winds Today + Tuesday
Heavy Rain Sunday + Monday – Localized Flooding Possible, Brutal Heat OTW
Although more isolated than yesterday, a few folks will draw winning Wattery tickets this afternoon and evening. Brief heavy rain + lightning possible.
Much higher rain chances exist Sunday + Monday.
18z HRRR model (above) shows chances for showers/storms getting going early Sunday morning, continuing throughout the day. Any storm could contain lightning, heavy rain + gusty winds.
More and More Wattery Chances, Localized Flooding Possible
Can’t seem to shake the daily Wattery chances – we can blame the moist, soupy airmass for that.
Each day thru the middle of next week will have:
- chances for showers/storms – mostly in the afternoon + evening
- no one knows exactly when/where they may pop-up
- lightning and heavy rain possible with any storm
- localized minor flooding possible with some of the heavier rain – watch out for ponding on roadways
- no severe weather concerns, but maybe some gusty winds in some storms
Lower rain chances Saturday, higher chances Sunday + Monday – but chances exist every day.
Same Old, Same Old + Drought Update
To start out, the new drought monitor came out today. The “update” is that there are no changes.
For our two counties, no changes have been made since last week. Most of us in the Abnormally Dry category, with some folks in extreme southern WillCo. in a Moderate Drought.
Moist Airmass Goin’ Nowhere
Sorry to sound like the forecast is stuck on repeat but hit or miss (mostly miss) rain chances continue to be the focus of the forecast.
A few folks may see a shower/non-severe storms over the next couple of hours this evening, but activity should be winding down as we head towards sunset.
Daily Random Rain Chances Stay On
Although pretty much everyone got at least some rain this morning, activity has been more isolated this afternoon. Some of us have picked up a decent amount of rain, others not so much.
Showers/non-severe storms will diminish in coverage as we head towards sunset tonight.
Daily Wattery Chances Continuing Thru the Week
Everyone will be playing the daily Wattery this week. Some days will have more winners than others.
Some of us have already won today, with showers/lightning storms chances continuing thru the evening.
Humid, Randomly Rainy Week Ahead
Morning rain and storms SE of us this morning. Seen by mid level water vapor imagery:
Lightningstorms for some of us are likely late this afternoon.
- Exactly when and where is unclear. Long live the summertime wattery.
- Unlikely all of us will get rain.
HRRR model for today, time stamp upper right (subtract 1 hour):
Less Heat, More Humidity, Rain Ahead
Plans tonight may be interrupted by random, pop up downpours and thunderstorms.
- A warm front came thru today, sparking storms that went up, and collapsed fast.
- Some of us will probably see a few downpours with lightning later this afternoon and early tonight, ending shortly after sundown.
- Those with outdoor concert plans should be prepared.
HRRR model for tonight:
Same thing Sunday. Heat and humidity build through the afternoon, sparking downpours with lightning late afternoon through early evening. HRRR model:
Pour Some [Rain] On Me, Except On a Saturday Nite.
I mowed this morning – and can confirm, the grass is dry. Although I will say the cooler temps and shade was quite nice.
Rain chances today will be mostly confined to S of I-40. Not everyone will win.
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