Downpours (feat lightning potential) off and on today in various random parts of Nashville and Will Co this afternoon and tonight. That’s the HRRR story, anyway. May the odds be ever in your favor.
Outdoor festivities 🤝 rainiest time of year. Worse, models struggle with timing and placement of these storms. Severe unlikely. Downpours, lightning the hazards. But most of us should be clear most of the time.
Below forecast grid: it may rain or storm at any time during the next week. No organized severe weather expected atm. Lightning a risk. No specific ETAs. Pattern scattered. Statistically approaching rainiest time of year. Not ideal for graduations, concerts.
Still no lightning with it. Moving slowly toward downtown.
Updated radar below. 743 PM.
Tonight Kicks Off Our On/Off Rainy Weekend.
Non-severe shower + storms will move into our area tonight and stick around throughout the day Friday.
HRRR model (above) shows a break for most of us by around lunchtime Friday. However…
More showers + non-severe storms are expected to develop Friday afternoon and evening. This particular run of the HRRR model shows a majority of the activity dodging us. Now this would be super cool if it does, but I’m pretty sus on that. If going to one of the many, many available outdoor activities tomorrow, not a bad idea to have rain gear + a back-up indoor plan in case a shower/storm decides to make its way to you. If you are downtown tomorrow, you may end up having to dodge some storms and chairs.
Downpour creeping north into Nashville. No lightning with it. 720 PM.
Rain/Storm Chances Return Thursday Night.
Temps will yet again return to the upper 80s Thursday, getting close to the 90° mark.
An unsettled pattern will settle in for the weekend, with rain chances beginning late Thursday night.
HRRR model above shows rain entering our region late Thursday night continuing thru Friday morning. A break Friday midday, with more rain/storm chances Friday afternoon/evening. Fingers crossed we can be dry before all of our Friday evening outdoor activities (which there is a lot of). Still too much uncertainty to try to nail down any ETA/ETD, we’ll keep you updated. No severe weather expected.
HRRR model guesses the timing for rain and thunderstorms (non-severe) Friday. Time stamp upper left. More about this tomorrow.
It’s Gonna Be May (and Very Warm).
As we wrap up April and begin May, we’ll be dry and temps will be well above average. Hopefully our showers last night can bring May flowers.
Wednesday and Thursday, high temperatures are expected to reach up into the upper 80s. Thursday looks like the best chance to hit the 90° mark, which would tie the daily record high set back in 1901.
Few lightning strikes, some those house rattling positive strikes. Most of us will sleep thru it. No severe weather worries tonight. Get some sleep. Rain gone by morning commute. Radar from 1205 AM
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