Nothing much to talk about today and Tuesday – plenty of sun and warmer temps.
Next Rain Event
We could see a couple showers Wednesday afternoon, but the main event will come through late Wednesday night into early Thursday morning.
Rain Returns Late Wednesday
Next Rain Event Late Wednesday – Thursday.
Happy Easter!
Sunshine and a warmup through the mid-week.
Our next chance of showers and thunderstorms arrives Wednesday night and continues Thursday.
The approaching storm system presents some severe risk for Arkansas and West Tennessee. Severe is unlikely for us. The system appears to weaken a bit and become just a rain event with low-powered thunderstorms by the time it gets here. ETA most likely very late Wednesday into Thursday morning. Timing remains iffy, though, because hi-res models are not yet in range.
The Warm-up Begins, Next Rain Event: Mid-Week (Storms?)
Was this the last freezing morning of the szn?
Place your bets. We say “probably” because it’s difficult for the atmosphere to get freezing air this far south, this time of the year, but not impossible. For now, we see no chance of a freezing morning for the next 7-10 days.
What Season Is It Again?
Happy spr-winter, the weird in-between season that only Nashville experiences.
(Side note: When you write about the weather, you also have the ability to create fake seasons.)
Cold for One More Day
We will be warmer than yesterday, but “warm” is a relative term. Our high temperature is expected to reach about 55º. The sun will be out shining all day!
Cold Mornings Ahead–Protect Beloved Plants!
Chilly Start to April
The temperatures this morning are no April Fool’s joke!
High temperatures will have to stretch to hit 50º by this afternoon. The climatological high for this time of year is around 65º, so we’re far below normal.
“Goodbye Stranger”. Drying Out and Winter’s Last Hurrah?
Even though the rain has departed, flooding still remains a concern, especially if you live near the Harpeth River in Bellevue. If you come across a road with water over it, please do not attempt to cross is. It’s difficult to judge how deep the water is and it doesn’t take much to cause big problems.
Flash Flood Watch, Thunderstorms Incoming Late Tonight – Early Wednesday Morning. Then We Get Cold.
Rivers levels are plateauing, and will recede. But tonight along comes another line of rain with a few thunderstorms. Our water management system has anticipated the incoming rain and is working to keep river levels steady.
Can We Just, Not? Flash Flood Watch Tuesday Night – Early Thursday Morning.
Rain will enter Middle Tennessee late Tuesday night.
The HRRR model thinks the first drops will fall around 7 PM Tuesday night. Then a break in the rain. Then the heaviest rain arrives Wednesday, probably after midnight Tuesday night through sunrise Wednesday morning. The HRRR model (right now, at least, see below) thinks that heaviest rain goes just southeast of Davidson and Williamson Counties:
Prepare for More Rain Tuesday Night Through Wednesday.
Sunshine & Clear Until Tuesday Evening
Look out for patchy frost this morning–your reminder that in Nashville, we can never really be sure what season it is. We will warm up this afternoon thanks to plenty of sunshine!
Tomorrow will look similar with even warmer temperatures.
Clear Debris From Storm Sewer Grates and Culverts
24 hour rain fall totals from various observers in Nashville:
Williamson County:
The rainfall was historic:
Editor’s Note: We lost 4 people in this flood, at least that’s how many we know about as of noon Sunday. Each immeasurably valuable. The Mayor held a noon press conference and promised thorough investigation to understand the circumstances of each person having lost their life due to flash flooding. Investigations improve future messaging. But right now I do not want to reduce the lives of each of these four people into a lesson we expect to be taught later. Nothing is more important than a life. When we lose one it seems to me the community should mourn the person and surround his and her loved ones with love, kindness, and support, regardless of circumstances. Same is true for those who woke up with water in their home, businesses, and cars. Donate, give, love.
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