Rainy Saturday, Yet Again
It’s cloudy!
Overcast skies are currently widespread and will be hanging out all day, so don’t expect for the sun to break through.
Rain showers will be on and off throughout today and tonight.
Rain on the Way, Unsettled Rainy/Cloudy Pattern Begins
For the first time in a few days, the official temperature in Nashville did not hit the freezing mark! We only got down to 36º at the airport.
Today
Overall today, the HRRR model is showing a few scattered showers in the area, with a few of them coming thru this afternoon. Have an umbrella handy.
Sunny Thursday, Cloudy Friday, Rainy Saturday
Overnight’s Freeze Warning Has Expired
The freeze warning we’ve been under has expired as of 9 AM this morning.
Last Day of Sunshine Before the Weekend
Your Thursday will start off clear and crisp with temperatures in the mid 40’s. A quick warm up to 55 degrees will have you really feeling like Spring has Sprung!
Sun Today and Tomorrow, then Rain Returns
Snow moved through last night, but noting accumulated here. Those to our north and east did see accumulation, especially in higher elevations. It looks like totals are varying anywhere from 0.5-3”!
Shower/Wintry Mix Possible Tonight, Freezing Temps Overnight
Cloudy Skies for Now, Showers & Some Wintry Mix Possible Later Today
Today is the first day of Spring!
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Unfortunately, it won’t really feel too much like spring today. Chilly and cloudy conditions will prevail through the AM with showers arriving later in the afternoon. Today’s temps look to steadily fall throughout the day.
Tornado Watch Cancelled, Colder Air Set to Move In
Note: The tornado watch is cancelled.
Storms ending, now cold and snow?
Oh boy, only in Nashville! Storms this afternoon are quickly moving east and we turn our attention to cooler air and a change in wind direction tonight.
NWS Temperature Trend
Tornado Watch In Effect Until 1100PM
Probabilities
Severe Weather Expected This Afternoon/Evening
Severe Weather Timing per NWS Nashville
Good morning, all. We are expecting strong to severe thunderstorms today, with all hazards (large hail, damaging winds, tornadoes) possible. Latest runs of the HRRR show that between mid-afternoon and early evening will be our best opportunity for menacing storms to race across Middle Tennessee:
ETA, Hazards, and Uncertainties: Monday’s Hail, Damaging Winds, & Tornado Risk.
When
1 PM to 5 PM Monday.
Obviously, this risk will occur during school dismissal and the evening commute.
What
Hail, and/or damaging thunderstorm winds, and/or tornadoes.
In the order of likelihood, assuming we get a storm: (1) Hail–most likely. (2) Damaging thunderstorm winds–next most likely. (3) Tornadoes–third most likely. Hail is not that much more likely than tornadoes, though. Consult the below chart from NWS-Nashville:
Severe Weather Concerns Monday; No-Worries Snow Potential Tuesday Night
Quickly, about today, we’re not expecting rain. We may see light rain show up late tonight. Here’s the HRRR model’s prediction thru 11 PM:
Monday’s Severe Weather Concerns
The Storm Prediction Center issues outlooks for severe weather. Six categories for severe weather are used, beginning at general, non-severe thunderstorms, and running all the way from 1 through 5, with five being the “worst.”
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