For the first time in a few days, the official temperature in Nashville did not hit the freezing mark! We only got down to 36º at the airport.
Overall today, the HRRR model is showing a few scattered showers in the area, with a few of them coming thru this afternoon. Have an umbrella handy.
Tonight, however, rain is more likely, kicking off the start of a very unsettled pattern. Showers will become more widespread sometime after dark as winds pick up out of the east-southeast at 5-10 mph. This change is associated with a low-pressure system situated over Missouri beginning to pump Gulf moisture into the area, setting the stage for a steady, but light rainfall tonight and overnight.
We still think rain is more likely late Saturday afternoon into the evening. Thunderstorms may even be associated with some of the rain, especially in the late afternoon hours. The high will be 66º.
The NAM3 model illustrates what may happen, with rain arriving in the late afternoon, continuing through the evening, then shutting off early Sunday morning.
Sunday & Beyond
Sunday will be mostly cloudy with only a small chance of showers. Stay tuned, this may change.
Overall for the weekend, we are looking at about a half of an inch of rain in all. Not too big of an event. It is next week that could give us a ton of rain.
The unsettled pattern will continue on Monday after the low-pressure center transitions into a trough. Rain will be off and on Monday through Wednesday, bit it won’t be much.
Once Wednesday and Thursday roll around, it will be time to discuss significantly higher rainfall amounts than what is expected this weekend.
In the meantime, highs will be in the 60s and lows in the 50s for the beginning of next work week. And unfortunately, there isn’t a sunny day in the forecast yet…