Cloudy Today; Rain Chances Increasing Tonight and Tomorrow; Break in the Heat for Early Week

Rain is setting up to our west as a large frontal system is organizing over south Missouri.

For today, most rain chances will remain to our west. Daytime heating will cause some rain/thunderstorms to go up over our area in the afternoon. If you plan to be outdoors, pack the umbrella. read more

Hot, Humid, Rain Chances Every Day, Most Likely Late Saturday/Early Sunday Morning

Today and This Weekend

It’s still summer. Hot and humid.

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Looking at a high of 91º in the city today with pop up showers and storms. Today is the type of day where we can’t tell you where and when due to their pulsing nature; it is something we just can’t forecast. read more

Unsettled Rain Pattern; Wet Weekend

High temps in the upper 80s with clouds hanging overhead all day. TD Gordon keeping our dewpoints high; humidity is oppressive.

Tropical Depression Gordon

TD Gordon has moved into western Mississippi – seen here as the small area of blue and white convection over the MS delta. Today it’ll move further west into Arkansas, pushing more moisture into Davidson and Williamson counties. read more

Gordon Brings Rain, Will Leave Hot Weather

Today’s Major Factor: Tropical Depression Gordon

Tropical Storm Gordon made landfall last night just west of the Alabama/Mississippi state line. This morning, the center was located near Jackson, Mississippi and is working its way toward Louisiana and Arkansas. read more

Spotty Storms Possible This Afternoon; Watching TS Gordon; Another Hot & Humid Weekend Ahead

Today

Hot and muggy. High temps in the low 90s with a heat index in the upper 90s.

The HRRR model thinks we could see a few scattered storms this afternoon/evening. This model thought the same thing yesterday and nothing happened. But, it could be right today. Any storms that go up will be traveling quickly from south to north. read more

Few/No Gordon Impacts Here; Typical Hot/Humid Week Ahead

Today is turning out “Sweaty not Wetty.” High pressure defeated any effort to sprout storms. A few defiant cells may sprout over the next few hours. We’ll tweet them @NashSevereWx (and here) if they do. read more

Tropical Storm Gordon May Influence Our Late Week Weather but it’s No Big Deal for Us

It’s hot today but not sure it’s a “scorcher.”

We wrote “Sweaty Not Wetty” last night only to wake up this morning to HRRR model runs popping off isolated late afternoon/early evening downpours and thunderstorms: read more

Sweaty Not Wetty Labor Day; Watching Tropical Cyclone Seven

Labor Day

The Storm Prediction Center does not think we will see Labor Day thunderstorms:

The Weather Prediction Center forecasts for us no Labor Day rain:

NWS-Nashville agrees, figuring only a 10% probability of precipitation (black arrow) and betting no rain will actually hit the pavement (red arrow): read more

Pop-Up Rain Possible Today; Hot, Humid, Quiet Labor Day; Remnants Storm in Gulf of Mexico May Bring Us Rain Next Weekend

Sunday

It’s possible an isolated shower or storm will pop up this afternoon. The HRRR model thinks so:

As usual for summer, shower/storm locations are unknown. Buy a lottery ticket and hope for the best. read more

Slim Rain Chances in the Afternoon; Summertime Pattern Continues; Pretty Good Labor Day

Happy First Day of September!

Meteorological Fall

If you follow the meteorology community on social media, you may see the term “Meteorological Fall” thrown around today. This refers to the beginning of what are considered the “fall months” of September, October, November. Not be confused with the fall season which begins on September 22! Fall temps are still out of reach. read more