As of 1:00 pm, a cold front is moving east through west TN. The widespread clouds we’ve seen so far today are also moving east, leaving us with what could be a partly sunny afternoon.
In some scenarios, this would destabilize the air above our heads enough to create damage-making severe weather. However, today, the general mood of computer models and forecasters is somewhat chill.
So far so good. Just rain this morning. We think the strong/severe threat — while pretty low — will be late this afternoon.
Here’s the radar before 8 AM:
The wind is howling. A Wind Advisory remains effective, BNA gusted to 38 MPH and a 40+ MPH gust is possible today.
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A cool, pleasant day ahead with high temperatures reaching low to mid 60’s and mostly sunny skies.
It’s a bit breezy today with a south wind at 10-15 mph gusting as high as 20 mph.
A warm front will lift across Middle Tennessee early Wednesday. Meanwhile, a strong low pressure system will move north of Middle Tennessee late Tuesday night into Wednesday, dragging a cold front through our area by Wednesday night. This sets up a rain and potential strong/severe storm event.
36° expected Tuesday morning. Many of us will hit freezing around sunrise. But you’re not here for a temp forecast.
SPC hasn’t updated their storm outlook for Wednesday’s potential storm event since this morning. The next update is due Tuesday morning at 1 AM.
We’ll hit 36° at BNA early Tuesday morning, many of us will be colder so expect frost and a few hours of freezing Tuesday morning. Clouds and a south wind will warm us up Tuesday as we watch the next storm system expected Wednesday.
Radar as of 10:22 AM:
You can check updated radar scans here.
The HRRR model predicts rain this afternoon. It looks like it’s predicting more rain than we see coming on radar:
The rain should end around dark. HRRR model is showing about 0.4″ or so (below), but expect less than that. NWS-Nashville expects about 0.25″.
Clouds will begin to make their way into the area this morning.
We should be looking at dry conditions through this afternoon, but can’t rule out a stray shower popping up in your backyard. High of 70. Saturday is forecasted to be the nicest of the weekend.
Sun will prevail this morning before some clouds move in this afternoon. You can see them hanging out over West Tennessee in this morning’s satellite imagery:
Winds may pick up to 10-15 mph today.
High temperatures will approach 70º. This will be closer to the record (78º) than it will be to the average:
It’s Friday Eve! We’re warming up today with a high 69 degrees and clear, sunny skies.
It’s quite windy today due to a south wind at 10-15mph gusting as high as 35mph.
Due to these dry and windy conditions today, fire danger is high putting Davidson County in a Red Flag warning from 10am-6pm.
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