It’s Not Time To Panic/Party but Behold a Blog about Tornado and Snow Chances.

NWS-Nashville writes a technical long form forecast discussion twice a day, every day, 365 days a year. In some years 366 days a year. One is published sometime between 2 AM and 4 AM, another 12 hours later. These long form discussions cover the next seven days. NWS-Nashville is the essential weather infrastructure in Middle Tennessee. Without them, the entire weather enterprise collapses. #Thanksgiving. read more

Inversions and Instability: A Look at Damaging Wind & Tornado Potential Wednesday.

A cool, pleasant day ahead with high temperatures reaching low to mid 60’s and mostly sunny skies.

It’s a bit breezy today with a south wind at 10-15 mph gusting as high as 20 mph.

Rain and Storms Wednesday: Severe Weather Possible.

A warm front will lift across Middle Tennessee early Wednesday. Meanwhile, a strong low pressure system will move north of Middle Tennessee late Tuesday night into Wednesday, dragging a cold front through our area by Wednesday night. This sets up a rain and potential strong/severe storm event. read more

Mo Instability Mo Problems, No Instability No Problems.

36° expected Tuesday morning. Many of us will hit freezing around sunrise. But you’re not here for a temp forecast.

SPC hasn’t updated their storm outlook for Wednesday’s potential storm event since this morning. The next update is due Tuesday morning at 1 AM. read more

Severe Thunderstorms Possible Wednesday

We’ll hit 36° at BNA early Tuesday morning, many of us will be colder so expect frost and a few hours of freezing Tuesday morning. Clouds and a south wind will warm us up Tuesday as we watch the next storm system expected Wednesday. read more

Rain Today, Cold Tonight & Monday, More Rain (Storms?) Mid-Week.

Rain Incoming

Radar as of 10:22 AM:

You can check updated radar scans here.

The HRRR model predicts rain this afternoon. It looks like it’s predicting more rain than we see coming on radar:

HRRR simulated radar, valid through 7pm tonight

The rain should end around dark. HRRR model is showing about 0.4″ or so (below), but expect less than that. NWS-Nashville expects about 0.25″. read more

Rain Sunday, Slight Cooldown Next Week

Clouds will begin to make their way into the area this morning.

Plan Outdoor Weekend Activities for Saturday. Rain Sunday.

Friday and Saturday: Warm-ish & Sunny-ish

Sun will prevail this morning before some clouds move in this afternoon. You can see them hanging out over West Tennessee in this morning’s satellite imagery:

Winds may pick up to 10-15 mph today.

High temperatures will approach 70º. This will be closer to the record (78º) than it will be to the average: read more

Red Flag Warning For Fire Danger Today, Rain Chances Return This Weekend

It’s Friday Eve! We’re warming up today with a high 69 degrees and clear, sunny skies.

It’s quite windy today due to a south wind at 10-15mph gusting as high as 35mph.

Due to these dry and windy conditions today, fire danger is high putting Davidson County in a Red Flag warning from 10am-6pm. read more

Gradual Warming Trend Into The Weekend, Next Rain Event: Sunday Night/Monday Morning

Few degrees warmer than Tuesday with a high approaching 60 and bright sunshine.

Wash Away!

Notice the “Blue H” over Kentucky.

If you’re a dry weather fan, that “H” is your friend. It prevents air from rising, which is how showers and thunderstorms form. read more

Jordan is 9 Years Old, Missing Likely in Joelton. Freezing Temps Expected Early Wednesday Morning. (& Next Rain Chance, details here).

“Our best guess is that Jordan is in the area immediately near his home in Joelton, but the reality is he could be anywhere….Search your property….Even if you see something that looks out of place and you think this isn’t significant, it might very well be significant.” See the video below. They think he may be in a shed, outbuilding and they’re asking Joeltonians to search your property, look under a car. read more