Skies will be cloudy for much of the day. Good news: clouds will keep our high temp from soaring. High temps in the mid 80°s and dewpoints in the upper 60°s.
GOES-16 Low-Level Water Vapor Imagery shows low pressure slowly swirling over the Midwest (near St. Louis). It’s pulling moisture straight up into Tennessee, keeping our storm chances high.
Yesterday is one of those instances where we prepared for the worst, hoped for the best, and landed on the better side of things. To give you an idea of how storms played out, we have the Storm Prediction Center Storm Reports map (pictured below). This map is created from reports the public, broadcast entities, or others sent to the local NWS office during a severe weather event.
Sticky — but not oppressive — humidity and very low afternoon rain chances; keep all your rain-afraid afternoon plans.
That said, a few storms could go up this afternoon, but as the HRRR model below illustrates, most of that threat will be to the south and east of Williamson and Davidson counties.
Our winds have shifted and are now coming from the north, bringing us dry air overnight tonight.
The HRRR shows us what the radar could look like for the remainder of the day. Rain/storms forming mostly along and south of I-40 in the afternoon, then slowly pushing south.
Rain-suppressing high pressure will be here today, gone tomorrow.
High temps will hit the mid 90s for Nashville, with oppressive dewpoints in the low 70s. Another hot and humid day in July.
The HRRR model (shown below) predicts afternoon downpours, but it has Williamson and Davidson Counties looking dry.
A dome of high pressure has settled itself right on top of us. This will suppress rain formation and increase our high temps.
This afternoon we will hit the mid 90’s for most places around Nashville. Dewpoints will again be borderline oppressive (around the 70° mark). Heat Index values could easily reach 100°.
Early-morning clouds over over Williamson and Davidson Counties have disappeared.
Some puffy cumulus clouds are appearing over us, but they’re not blocking sunshine from reaching the surface.
High temps will reach into the low 90’s, with dewpoints remaining in the low 70s. It’s going to feel close to 100° this afternoon.
