Latest HRRR for tomorrow shows showers in the morning and the “main event” storms after noon into the evening. Don’t get caught up in exact placement of storms on this one model run. Stay connected. The forecast could change. Loop 2am-10pm.
Preparing for severe weather tomorrow, some tips:
Within 25 miles of you tomorrow, the chances of “x” occurring are: tornado – 10%, damaging winds – 30%, large hail – 15%. More info throughout the day today.
HRRR is now in range for Tuesday’s potential severe weather. It’s showing a composite “significant tornado parameter” of around 1.0-1.5 Tuesday afternoon (blue). Anything over 1.0 gets our attention. All modes of severe weather remain possible Tuesday….large hail, damaging winds and tornadoes. More tomorrow as details become more clear.
Discussing Tuesday’s Severe Weather Chances: Timing, Hazards…
Very nice Easter day going on.
Monday will be another warm and probably dry day. Overnight Monday we could see a few showers/storms, but the majority of the activity should stay to our north.
Our main focus continues to be the threat of severe weather Tuesday.
Concern rising for severe storms Tuesday. Damaging straight line winds, and/or large hail, and/or tornado.
Rough ETA Tuesday late morning until dark.
Review severe weather plans today.
Tuesday severe summary from NWS-Nashville:
Warm + Dry Weekend, Still Watching Tuesday.
Today’s high temps have soared into the upper 70s, Easter Sunday and Monday will be similar temperature-wise. A few places may even surpass 80 degrees.
We should be dry through Monday, a few showers cannot be ruled out Monday morning, but majority of us will stay dry.
Planters: another frost/freeze possible mid/late next week.
Beautiful Easter Weekend, Eyes Still on Tuesday.
Wonderful weather today and the rest of the weekend.
No rain expected thru Sunday, and we’ll likely stay dry Monday as well. Highs nearing 80° Saturday – Monday. Great weather for all the outdoor activities, egg hunting.
SPC continues to have us outlooked for the possibility of severe weather on Tuesday. Currently a 15% chance of severe weather within 25 miles of you. This will be revised in coming days.
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