Current Radar
Thunderstorms have formed to our northwest today in response to an approaching cold front. The latest high resolution models have these storms holding together long enough to make it into our area this evening/overnight:
Current Radar
Rain came early today. Still have a few lingering showers that should exit as we head into the evening hours. Partly cloudy skies will follow behind, may eventually get some clear skies overnight.
Current Radar
For the most part, expecting clear to partly cloudy skies through the evening. The early evening time frame should remain rain-free. As we head into the late evening, early early AM hours we have a very slim chance of seeing some showers.
Current Radar
After the sun sets, any storms will deteriorate. That’s summertime! An enjoyable, cooler night is ahead with temperatures falling into the upper 70s by 9PM.
NWS Nashville is keeping the rain chances out of our forecast for Wednesday. However, with dew points in the low 70s and low 90s for high temps, it’s hard to ignore those numbers. Hot + humid + forcing mechanism = BOOM!…a thunderstorm is born.
Current Radar
Not a whole lot will change as we head into the evening hours. Skies will remain cloudy and we could see some more rain through the evening (that will all depend on where showers develop during the day). Temps are expected to barely cool only dipping down into the low 70s. It will also be very muggy through the evening with our dew point temps sticking in the 70s overnight.
Current Radar
Rain and storms remained stuck near the MS/TN/AL borders. A few showers lifted north toward our air, but those were zapped by drier and more stable air.
We did get a pretty cool roll cloud, though.
Roll cloud? @NWSNashville @NashSevereWx pic.twitter.com/F0F3yfmptc
— David Howe (@DHdeeder) July 10, 2016
Rain chances Monday and Tuesday will be higher than the common “summertime pop-up” set ups. Let’s quote NWS!
As the northeast trough lifts out and heights rise, deeper moisture lurking just south of Tennessee will return northward late tonight through Monday. Also, a weak upper trough that has been sitting over north Mississippi will slowly lift north northeastward. These features will combine to spread scattered showers and a few storms across the Mid State on Monday and into Tuesday as well.
Current Radar
It’s raining this morning at the Alabama/Tennessee border.
We think that rain will creep north.
The HRRR model illustrates:
Notice how this model lifts what looks like a pretty big blob of light rain through the morning, then by 1 PM, it vanishes. We don’t think it’ll happen exactly like that, but we do think the rain should be decreasing as it comes north. It may not even make it.
Current Radar
The weather might actually cooperate for the first Saturday night in what feels like an eternity. Temperatures will fall into the upper 70s area-wide and *most* of the rain should be well south of I-40 by sunset.
Current Radar
We saw a little rain today, but most of the heavy thunderstorms are developing over the Cumberland Plateau. Expect mainly dry conditions for the next few hours, but models are hinting at another line of storms overnight. Here’s the HRRR Model:
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MIDDLE AND EASTERN TENNESSEE
WESTERN VIRGINIA
WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA
* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 130 PM UNTIL
900 PM EDT.
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