Current Radar
The chance of rain today is low. The reason isn’t exciting, so I’ll just show the HRRR model, below, which thinks a few showers/storms may pop up briefly by mid/late afternoon. Don’t alter any outdoor plans.
Current Radar
Available moisture will be backing off later this evening, allowing most storms to dissipate. A quick shower or two may sneak in, but chances aren’t too high. Temperatures will be comfortable in the 80s for the rest of the night.
Current Radar
Afternoon storms will continue into the evening but after sunset, these should fall apart. Expect this evening to be a few degrees cooler than what we’ve seen recently!
*Update: Here’s how the HRRR plays out this evening. We should be in the clear given the radar, but the HRRR wants to throw some more showers at us. Pack a poncho just in case.
Current Radar
Main line of showers has moved through and continued to move to the East. Have had some showers develop to our south, bu they appear to all be tracking away from our area, which is good news for those evening plans.
Current Radar
Showers and storms have already developed and will continue through the remainder of the afternoon into the evening hours. Lots of energy currently in our atmosphere which could help produce a few strong thunderstorms (wind and hail are the main concerns).
Current Radar
Any lingering afternoon storms will dutifully collapse and quickly fall apart at the approach of sunset. Temperatures will fall through the 80s into the upper 70s, so a nice night is in the bucket (beyond early evening rain chances) for a Nashville Sounds ballgame.
Current Radar
Rain chances tonight will greatly depend on when/if we see showers in the afternoon. If this squall line stays intact, we could see some early evening hour activity. If it does not, then we could see a few pop up afternoon showers that should dissipate as we head into the evening hours.
Current Radar
Monday, High 94° NWS Nashville says “rain chances will edge upward Monday and Tuesday as a weak surface boundary approaches from the north.”
“Edge upward” is the best part of this phrase. The HRRR parallel model shows nothing in the morning. The NAM4 doesn’t, either, and it keeps things pretty scattered in the afternoon. But, the global models have us getting some rain in the afternoon, but I don’t think everyone will get wet. Rain confidence is a bit higher now that there will be that surface boundary close by. NWS likes our rain chances and has us down for 0.17″ of rain.
Current Radar
Our Heat Advisory has been dropped because, when we hit our high 94°, the dewpoint should be “only” 72°, which makes a heat index of 102°. You need 105° to issue a Heat Advisory.
Current Radar
The heat advisory continues through 8PM tonight. Afternoon storms will continue into the evening, until the sun sets. That’s when the valve shuts off and we dry out. Temperatures will “cool” into the 80s, but with ample humidity, it will still feel a bit uncomfortable outside.